RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Tony Corrente
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playEdward Jones Dome · TurfStadium scoring factor 97 (25th of 32, 100 = league average) · 44.1 points a game in 53 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Jacksonville Jaguars · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:JAX scores 53% · allows 44%LAR scores 52% · allows 49%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
JAXLARsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
JAX11 games
Scored12.0
Allowed9.0
Pass share39%
35–44% · 307 plays
LAR10 games
Scored14.2
Allowed12.8
Pass share50%
42–58% · 318 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
JAX3 games
Scored20.0
Allowed15.7
Pass share45%
34–57% · 110 plays
LAR3 games
Scored9.0
Allowed13.7
Pass share54%
42–67% · 111 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
JAX3 games
Scored10.0
Allowed10.3
Pass share69%
56–81% · 105 plays
LAR4 games
Scored19.0
Allowed7.5
Pass share64%
53–75% · 135 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
JAXat the half: led 11 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 3 (of 17)
6.0
3.2Q1
8.9
5.0Q2
14.9scored8.2allowedleague 11.4
1st half
6.1
2.7Q3
6.4
7.4Q4
LARat the half: led 10 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 4 (of 17)
7.0
4.1Q1
8.5
7.2Q2
15.5scored11.3allowedleague 11.4
1st half
6.1
4.9Q3
7.8
6.3Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
JAXLAR
4-12
Record
7-9
15.4
Points for / game
21.8
28.1
Points against / game
22.8
1-7 / 3-5
Home / road
5-3 / 2-6
L L L W W
Last 5
L W W L L
2013 season only (not a rolling window) · 16 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
JAXLAR
-0.155
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
-0.077
0.066
EPA / play allowed
-0.010
234
Pass yards / game
210
79
Rush yards / game
110
262
Pass yards allowed
263
132
Rush yards allowed
103
1.7 / 1.6
Turnovers / takeaways
1.1 / 2.2
3.1 / 1.9
Sacks allowed / made
2.3 / 3.3
15.4
First downs / game
15.4
50
Penalty yards / game
63
−20.8 · #46 of 46
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
−1.4 · #27 of 46
2013 season to date · 16 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
JAXLAR
6-25 · 19%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
10-15-1 · 40%
Last two seasons (2012–2013), JAX 32 games, LAR 32. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
0JAXseriesLAR4
Avg total points
46.0
Meetings
4
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (4 of the 15 seasons in our history). LAR have won the last 4.
2025LAR 35 vs JAX 7LAR
2021JAX 7 at LAR 37LAR
2017LAR 27 at JAX 17LAR
2013JAX 20 at LAR 34LAR
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Cecil ShortsWR12521.4%
Ace SandersWR8614.7%
Maurice Jones-DrewRB6010.3%
Mike BrownWR569.6%
Justin BlackmonWR488.2%
Marcedes LewisTE478.0%
Clay HarborTE356.0%
Kerry TaylorWR305.1%
Jordan TodmanRB264.5%
Justin ForsettRB162.7%
Will Ta'ufo'ouFB152.6%
Stephen BurtonWR132.2%
Allen ReisnerTE91.5%
Jeremy EbertWR81.4%
Danny NobleTE30.5%
Lamaar ThomasWR30.5%
Stephen WilliamsWR20.3%
Denard RobinsonRB10.2%
D.J. WilliamsTE10.2%
Jared CookTE8617.1%
Chris GivensWR8316.5%
Tavon AustinWR6913.7%
Austin PettisWR6312.5%
Lance KendricksTE469.1%
Zac StacyRB357.0%
Brian QuickWR346.8%
Stedman BaileyWR255.0%
Daryl RichardsonRB183.6%
Cory HarkeyTE183.6%
Isaiah PeadRB153.0%
Benny CunninghamRB102.0%
Mike McNeillTE10.2%
Jacksonville Jaguars2024–25 seasons
Los Angeles Rams2024–25 seasons
