RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
John Parry
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playMercedes-Benz Superdome · TurfStadium scoring factor 107 (3rd of 32, 100 = league average) · 49 points a game in 88 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
San Francisco 49ers · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
2012 season
Michael Crabtree · 154 (30.1%)Vernon Davis · 80 (15.7%)Randy Moss · 63 (12.3%)Mario Manningham · 57 (11.2%)Delanie Walker · 50 (9.8%)Frank Gore · 38 (7.4%)Kyle Williams · 22 (4.3%)Bruce Miller · 14 (2.7%)Kendall Hunter · 12 (2.3%)LaMichael James · 7 (1.4%)Garrett Celek · 7 (1.4%)Ted Ginn · 5 (1.0%)A.J. Jenkins · 1 (0.2%)Chad Hall · 1 (0.2%)
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:SF scores 47% · allows 50%NO scores 39% · allows 61%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
SFNOsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
SF9 games
Scored16.8
Allowed12.7
Pass share41%
35–46% · 272 plays
NO0 games
None in the last 17.
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
SF4 games
Scored16.8
Allowed4.3
Pass share43%
36–49% · 127 plays
NO7 games
Scored13.0
Allowed6.4
Pass share49%
38–60% · 224 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
SF4 games
Scored6.8
Allowed12.8
Pass share63%
52–73% · 107 plays
NO10 games
Scored11.9
Allowed10.6
Pass share66%
61–70% · 337 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
SFat the half: led 9 · within 3 in 4 · trailed 4 (of 17)
5.8
5.7Q1
7.0
5.2Q2
12.8scored10.9allowedleague 11.4
1st half
7.2
3.9Q3
7.2
6.8Q4
NOat the half: led 0 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 10 (of 17)
2.0
6.4Q1
5.9
7.6Q2
7.9scored14.1allowedleague 11.4
1st half
5.4
4.3Q3
6.6
4.2Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
SFNO
13-5-1
Record
7-9
26.4
Points for / game
28.8
19.1
Points against / game
28.4
7-2 / 6-3
Home / road
4-4 / 3-5
L W W W L
Last 5
L W W L L
2012 season only (not a rolling window) · 16–19 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
SFNO
0.133
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
0.099
-0.023
EPA / play allowed
0.099
229
Pass yards / game
324
166
Rush yards / game
99
232
Pass yards allowed
305
94
Rush yards allowed
148
0.9 / 1.8
Turnovers / takeaways
1.4 / 1.6
2.4 / 2.2
Sacks allowed / made
1.6 / 1.9
19.3
First downs / game
20.7
58
Penalty yards / game
57
+8.0 · #4 of 40
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+7.1 · #7 of 40
2012 season to date · 16–19 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
SFNO
2-1 · 67%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
2-5 · 29%
Last two seasons (2011–2012), SF 19 games, NO 16. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
5SFseriesNO3
Avg total points
50.5
Meetings
8
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (8 of the 15 seasons in our history). SF have won the last 2.
2025SF 26 at NO 21SF
2022NO 0 at SF 13SF
2020SF 13 at NO 27NO
2019SF 48 at NO 46SF
2016NO 41 at SF 23NO
2014SF 27 at NO 24SF
2013SF 20 at NO 23NO
2012SF 31 at NO 21SF
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Michael CrabtreeWR15430.1%
Vernon DavisTE8015.7%
Randy MossWR6312.3%
Mario ManninghamWR5711.2%
Delanie WalkerTE509.8%
Frank GoreRB387.4%
Kyle WilliamsWR224.3%
Bruce MillerFB142.7%
Kendall HunterRB122.3%
LaMichael JamesRB71.4%
Garrett CelekTE71.4%
Ted GinnWR51.0%
A.J. JenkinsWR10.2%
Chad HallWR10.2%
Jimmy GrahamTE13520.6%
Marques ColstonWR13019.8%
Darren SprolesRB10415.9%
Lance MooreWR10415.9%
Pierre ThomasRB538.1%
Devery HendersonWR477.2%
Joseph MorganWR203.1%
David ThomasTE172.6%
Jed CollinsFB162.4%
Mark IngramRB101.5%
Travaris CadetRB81.2%
Greg CamarilloWR50.8%
Chris IvoryRB30.5%
Courtney RobyWR20.3%
Mike HigginsTE10.2%
San Francisco 49ers2024–25 seasons
New Orleans Saints2024–25 seasons
