RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Bill Vinovich
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playEdward Jones Dome · TurfStadium scoring factor 97 (25th of 32, 100 = league average) · 44.1 points a game in 53 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Green Bay Packers · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:GB scores 48% · allows 43%LAR scores 52% · allows 49%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
GBLARsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
GB5 games
Scored9.2
Allowed19.4
Pass share50%
31–70% · 157 plays
LAR10 games
Scored14.2
Allowed12.8
Pass share50%
42–58% · 318 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
GB7 games
Scored10.3
Allowed10.4
Pass share60%
54–65% · 196 plays
LAR3 games
Scored9.0
Allowed13.7
Pass share54%
42–67% · 111 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
GB5 games
Scored13.8
Allowed10.8
Pass share57%
38–75% · 161 plays
LAR4 games
Scored19.0
Allowed7.5
Pass share64%
53–75% · 135 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
GBat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 5 (of 17)
2.9
2.3Q1
7.2
7.7Q2
10.2scored10.0allowedleague 11.4
1st half
5.5
4.5Q3
5.3
8.3Q4
LARat the half: led 10 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 4 (of 17)
7.0
4.1Q1
8.5
7.2Q2
15.5scored11.3allowedleague 11.4
1st half
6.1
4.9Q3
7.8
6.3Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
GBLAR
12-6
Record
7-8-1
27.1
Points for / game
18.7
21.7
Points against / game
21.8
8-1 / 4-5
Home / road
4-4 / 3-4
L W L W W
Last 5
L W L W W
2012 season only (not a rolling window) · 16–18 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
GBLAR
0.081
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
-0.027
-0.010
EPA / play allowed
-0.020
271
Pass yards / game
236
105
Rush yards / game
107
236
Pass yards allowed
245
133
Rush yards allowed
118
0.7 / 1.6
Turnovers / takeaways
1.1 / 1.8
3.1 / 2.8
Sacks allowed / made
2.2 / 3.2
18.4
First downs / game
16.8
53
Penalty yards / game
61
+7.5 · #5 of 40
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
−0.0 · #21 of 40
2012 season to date · 16–18 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
GBLAR
1-2 · 33%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
7-6-1 · 54%
Last two seasons (2011–2012), GB 18 games, LAR 16. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
7GBseriesLAR1
Avg total points
44.5
Meetings
8
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (8 of the 15 seasons in our history). GB have won the last 5.
2024GB 24 at LAR 19GB
2023LAR 3 at GB 20GB
2022LAR 12 at GB 24GB
2021LAR 28 at GB 36GB
2020LAR 18 at GB 32PlayoffsGB
2018GB 27 at LAR 29LAR
2015LAR 10 at GB 24GB
2012GB 30 at LAR 20GB
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Randall CobbWR11218.2%
James JonesWR10817.5%
Jermichael FinleyTE9515.4%
Jordy NelsonWR8614.0%
Greg JenningsWR7612.3%
Alex GreenRB294.7%
John KuhnFB223.6%
Tom CrabtreeTE152.4%
D.J. WilliamsTE152.4%
Cedric BensonRB152.4%
Donald DriverWR132.1%
DuJuan HarrisRB121.9%
James StarksRB61.0%
Jarrett BoykinWR61.0%
Ryan GrantRB30.5%
Ryan TaylorTE20.3%
Aaron RodgersQB10.2%
Danny AmendolaWR10118.6%
Brandon GibsonWR8215.1%
Chris GivensWR8014.7%
Lance KendricksTE6411.8%
Steven JacksonRB539.7%
Austin PettisWR488.8%
Daryl RichardsonRB366.6%
Brian QuickWR275.0%
Steve SmithWR254.6%
Matthew MulliganTE122.2%
Mike McNeillTE71.3%
Isaiah PeadRB40.7%
Brit MillerFB30.6%
Cory HarkeyTE20.4%
Green Bay Packers2024–25 seasons
Los Angeles Rams2024–25 seasons
