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Miami beat Atlanta 34–10 at Atlanta (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on Oct 26, 2025.
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 7 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 34 |
| ATL | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
Closing line
MIA won 4 of 4 quartersATL won 0The lead under each quarter is the score after it.
Book-by-book closing prices are not kept for this game.
Not enough line history yet: the chart appears once the books have posted this game's numbers more than once.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = 498 league games, 30 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
MIA offense ranks better in 1 of 6 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ATL defense in 5 (5 by a clear margin)
ATL offense ranks better in 4 of 6 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · MIA defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 32 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
Jaylen WaddleWR10021.6%
De'Von AchaneRB8518.4%
Malik WashingtonWR6514.1%
Darren WallerTE347.4%
Greg DulcichTE337.1%
Tyreek HillWR296.3%
Julian HillTE204.3%
Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR204.3%
Tanner ConnerTE153.2%
Alec IngoldFB112.4%
Theo Wease Jr.WR102.2%
Jaylen WrightRB91.9%
Cedrick Wilson Jr.WR91.9%
Ollie Gordon IIRB91.9%
Dee EskridgeWR71.5%
Tahj WashingtonWR51.1%
Quinn EwersQB10.2%Red zone = inside the opponent's 20. Season totals, descriptive only.
Kyle PittsTE11822.7%
Drake LondonWR11221.6%
Bijan RobinsonRB10319.8%
Darnell MooneyWR7213.9%
David SillsWR366.9%
Tyler AllgeierRB163.1%
Casey WashingtonWR142.7%
Ray-Ray McCloudWR142.7%
Dylan DrummondWR112.1%
KhaDarel HodgeWR101.9%
Charlie WoernerTE91.7%
Deven ThompkinsWR30.6%
Jake MatthewsOT10.2%Red zone = inside the opponent's 20. Season totals, descriptive only.
Miami Dolphins2024–25 seasons
Atlanta Falcons2024–25 seasonsDesigned runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
2025 season only (not a rolling window) · 17 games each.
2025 season to date · 17 games each.
Last two seasons (2024–2025), MIA 34 games, ATL 34. Tendencies, not predictions.
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (4 of the 15 seasons in our history).
Miami DolphinsAtlanta FalconsLines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
