Median sportsbook implied win probability (vig included) at each odds snapshot since we started tracking this fight. A rising line = money and respect moving toward that fighter.
Output & grappling
per-fight rates over last 12 tracked bouts
KloseStatGantt
4.2
Sig. str / min
3.6
54%
Strike acc.
76%
4.1
Absorbed / min
2.6
+0.1
Damage margin
+1.0
47%
Strike defense
44%
0.23
Knockdowns /15
0.19
1.4
Takedowns /15
5.5
24%
TD accuracy
36%
70%
TD defense
100%
0.4
Ground adv. /15
0.1
0.0
Sub att. /15
0.8
Klose — pace & finishing
Avg fight length 11.4 min over 13 tracked
Round-1 finish wins 1 · finish wins 2
Went the distance 62% of tracked fights
Gantt — pace & finishing
Avg fight length 7.1 min over 12 tracked
Round-1 finish wins 4 · finish wins 11
Went the distance 8% of tracked fights
Klose — strike targetshead 54% · body 26% · leg 20%
Gantt — strike targetshead 71% · body 29% · leg 0%
Stylistic read
▸Gantt will look to wrestle: 5.5 takedowns/15min at 36% accuracy.
▸Chin check: Gantt finishes 58% of wins by KO while Klose has been stopped in 67% of losses.
▸Gantt holds a 7" reach advantage.
▸Gantt is 5 years younger — age gaps this size historically matter.
