Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Tommy Gantt vs Drakkar Klose

2:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Tommy Ganttby KO/TKO81% to win · closed -395
Result: Tommy Gantt by SUB in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Drakkar Klose
18% +463
Tommy Gantt
82% -463
How it ends
Klose by KO/TKO
4.7%
fair +2037
Klose by SUB
1.1%
fair +8796
Klose by DEC
11.9%
fair +737
Gantt by KO/TKO
42.0%
fair +138
Gantt by SUB
31.3%
fair +219
Gantt by DEC
8.9%
fair +1019

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R142.7%fair +134
Ends in R223.5%fair +326
Ends in R312.9%fair +674
Goes distance20.9%fair +379
How this fight plays out

The model makes Gantt a clear 82% favorite. Expect Gantt to chase the takedown (5.5/15 min at 36%) while Klose tries to keep it standing behind 70% takedown defense. Gantt's most likely path is by KO/TKO (42%), and the fight goes the distance 21% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.