Live
NFL
NBA
WNBA
College FB
UFC
MLB
Predictions
Data
Record
⌘K
UFC
Slate
Props
Fight Lab
Model
Fights
Fight night
Events
← All fights
Melissa Croden
vs
Chelsea Chandler
The model's pick →
5:00 PM ET
· scheduled
Premium
The model's read on Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler
The numbers above are the market's. Premium adds the model's call on this game.
✓
Who the model picks, and how sure it is
✓
Spread and total leans against the market
✓
The matchups behind the call, in plain English
Unlock the pick
Preview the page →
Winner
████ ▒▒▒
██%
Spread
███ ▒▒.▒
▒▒%
Total
▒▒▒▒ ▒▒
▒▒%
Premium
Tale of the tape
W Bantamweight
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 3 rounds · prelims1
Chelsea Chandler
7-4
(2 KO · 2 SUB · 3 DEC)
submission threat
Melissa Croden
“Scare”
8-3
(6 KO · 1 SUB · 1 DEC)
knockout power
Chandler
Tape
Croden
7-4
Record
8-3
35
Age
35
5'8"
Height
5'9"
68"
Reach
68.5"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
USA
Country
CAN
Win method %
KO 29% · SUB 29% · DEC 43%
KO 75% · SUB 13% · DEC 13%
Output & grappling
per-fight rates over last 11 tracked bouts
Chandler
Stat
Croden
2.6
Sig. str / min
4.2
45%
Strike acc.
47%
4.2
Absorbed / min
2.6
-1.6
Damage margin
+1.7
40%
Strike defense
59%
0.20
Knockdowns /15
0.33
0.7
Takedowns /15
1.9
60%
TD accuracy
50%
25%
TD defense
67%
0.0
Ground adv. /15
0.1
0.2
Sub att. /15
0.4
Chandler — pace & finishing
Avg fight length
10.0 min
over 11 tracked
Round-1 finish wins
3
· finish wins
4
Went the distance
55%
of tracked fights
Croden — pace & finishing
Avg fight length
12.7 min
over 11 tracked
Round-1 finish wins
1
· finish wins
7
Went the distance
36%
of tracked fights
Chandler — strike targets
head 70% · body 27% · leg 3%
Croden — strike targets
head 71% · body 16% · leg 13%
Stylistic read
▸
Croden out-lands significantly on volume — 4.2 vs 2.6 sig. strikes/min.
▸
Stance clash: Chandler (Southpaw) vs Croden (Orthodox) — expect open-stance exchanges.
Chelsea Chandler — last fights
W
2026-06-06
vs Priscila Cachoeira · Submission · R1
L
2025-04-26
vs Joselyne Edwards · KO/TKO · R1
L
2024-08-10
vs Yana Santos · Decision - Unanimous · R3
W
2024-03-16
vs Josiane Nunes · Decision - Unanimous · R3
L
2023-07-16
vs Norma Dumont · Decision - Unanimous · R3
Melissa Croden — last fights
W
2026-04-18
vs Daria Zhelezniakova · Decision - Unanimous · R3
L
2025-12-14
vs Luana Santos · Decision - Unanimous · R3
W
2025-10-18
vs Tainara Lisboa · KO/TKO · R3
W
2024-10-26
KO/TKO · R2
W
2023-10-07
KO/TKO · R3
Line shop
Fight odds refresh hourly on fight days — none yet for this bout.