JooSang Yoo vs Michael Aswell
7:00 PM ET· final“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.
The model makes Yoo a solid 60% favorite. Aswell throws more on the feet (6.9 vs 4.8/min), but the model expects Yoo to bank rounds with grappling — 1.0 takedowns and 0.2 positional advances per 15 minutes. Yoo is most dangerous early — 4 of 9 tracked wins ended in the first round. Yoo's most likely path is on the scorecards (39%), and the fight goes the distance 59% of the time. The live danger for Yoo: 55% of Aswell's wins come by knockout and 100% of Yoo's losses have come the same way.
Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.
Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.