Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Levi Rodrigues vs Ce Liu

6:00 AM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Ce Liuby KO/TKO54% to win · closed -195
Result: Ce Liu by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Ce Liu
53% -115
Levi Rodrigues
47% +115
How it ends
Liu by KO/TKO
42.7%
fair +134
Liu by SUB
5.4%
fair +1750
Liu by DEC
5.3%
fair +1769
Rodrigues by KO/TKO
37.7%
fair +166
Rodrigues by SUB
4.2%
fair +2285
Rodrigues by DEC
4.7%
fair +2050

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R148.6%fair +106
Ends in R226.7%fair +274
Ends in R314.7%fair +580
Goes distance10.0%fair +900
How this fight plays out

The model makes Liu a narrow 53% favorite. Liu is most dangerous early — 3 of 4 tracked wins ended in the first round. Liu's most likely path is by KO/TKO (43%), and the fight goes the distance 10% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk. The live danger for Liu: 100% of Rodrigues's wins come by knockout and 100% of Liu's losses have come the same way.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.