Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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David Martinez vs Dan Ige

5:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
David Martinezby DEC77% to win · closed -425
Result: David Martinez by DEC in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Dan Ige
24% +318
David Martinez
76% -318
How it ends
Ige by KO/TKO
15.3%
fair +555
Ige by SUB
1.1%
fair +8989
Ige by DEC
7.6%
fair +1220
Martinez by KO/TKO
12.8%
fair +678
Martinez by SUB
2.9%
fair +3360
Martinez by DEC
60.3%
fair -152

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R117.3%fair +477
Ends in R29.5%fair +949
Ends in R35.2%fair +1808
Goes distance67.9%fair -212
How this fight plays out

The model makes Martinez a clear 76% favorite. On the feet, Martinez sets the tempo — 4.7 significant strikes a minute to 3.4 — so Ige needs moments, not volume. Ige tends to settle in for the long haul — 9 of 13 tracked fights reached the judges. Martinez's most likely path is on the scorecards (60%), and the fight goes the distance 68% of the time.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.