Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Axel Sola vs Farés Ziam

3:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Axel Solaby DEC51% to win · closed +130
Result: Axel Sola by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Farés Ziam
46% +116
Axel Sola
54% -116
How it ends
Ziam by KO/TKO
17.9%
fair +460
Ziam by SUB
2.2%
fair +4416
Ziam by DEC
26.3%
fair +280
Sola by KO/TKO
14.6%
fair +586
Sola by SUB
16.0%
fair +524
Sola by DEC
23.0%
fair +334

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R127.4%fair +266
Ends in R215.0%fair +565
Ends in R38.3%fair +1109
Goes distance49.3%fair +103
How this fight plays out

The model makes Sola a narrow 54% favorite. On the feet, Sola sets the tempo — 4.4 significant strikes a minute to 2.8 — so Ziam needs moments, not volume. Sola's most likely path is on the scorecards (23%), and the fight goes the distance 49% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.