Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Erin Blanchfield

8:00 PM ET· scheduled
Thin market — no sportsbook has priced this fight. Every probability below is model-only, with nothing to check it against.
Model pickThe fight model's single most likely outcome: predicted winner, their most likely method of victory, and whether it ends inside the distance. Full probability breakdown below.
Erin Blanchfieldby DEC
62% to win · 42% that it’s by DEC · 69% this goes the distance
Model fair price -163
Probetrics fight model
Erin Blanchfield
62% -163
Jasmine Jasudavicius
38% +163
How it ends
Blanchfield by KO/TKO
4.7%
fair +2037
Blanchfield by SUB
15.7%
fair +539
Blanchfield by DEC
41.7%
fair +140
Jasudavicius by KO/TKO
2.1%
fair +4769
Jasudavicius by SUB
8.7%
fair +1048
Jasudavicius by DEC
27.2%
fair +268

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R116.8%fair +496
Ends in R29.2%fair +983
Ends in R35.1%fair +1869
Goes distance68.9%fair -222
How this fight plays out

The model makes Blanchfield a solid 62% favorite. On the feet, Blanchfield sets the tempo — 5.1 significant strikes a minute to 3.4 — so Jasudavicius needs moments, not volume. Blanchfield's most likely path is on the scorecards (42%), and the fight goes the distance 69% of the time.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.