Blanchfield vs Jasudavicius
Jasmine Jasudavicius beat Erin Blanchfield by decision at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott on Oct 17, 2026.
FinalSaturday, October 17W Flyweight · 3 rounds
Closing line
−325
DraftKings
+275
BetMGM
74%win chance, no vig26%
Rounds 2.5 · over −345 · under +280
5 US books
Jasmine Jasudavicius won by decision: round 3, 0:00
How it endsThe books' no-vig prices for every way the fight can end. The books price the round and the method separately (never a method inside a given round). Each number is the median chance across books with their margin removed; the price beside it is the best at a US sportsbook. The chance it is still going after a round is read off the round prices.Market
closing prices
The books gave Blanchfield 74% to win; it went the distance 68% of the time, and the likeliest single ending was Blanchfield by decision (50.0%).
How
Blanchfield74%26%Jasudavicius
+1000 FD8%
KO/TKO
12%
4%+3000 DK
+550 FD14%
Submission
20%
6%+1400 DK
−140 FD50%
Decision
68%
18%+390 FD
WhenEnded in round 3 at 0:00
R1R2R3DEC
Blanchfield
Jasudavicius
Still going87%76%68%
Outlined: the likeliest single ending. Still going: the chance it has not ended by the end of that round. Rounds line, no vig: over 2.5 rounds 76%. Tap a cell for its price.
How their last fights endedEach fighter's tracked fights before this one, oldest to newest.History
Blanchfield6 of 10 to the judges
9-1 in the last 10. 4 of 9 wins inside the distance; the loss went to the judges.
- WSubmission · R2vs Tracy CortezNov 2025
- WDecisionvs Rose NamajunasNov 2024
- LDecisionvs Manon FiorotMar 2024
- WDecisionUFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean ZombieAug 2023
- WSubmission · R2vs Jessica AndradeFeb 2023
Jasudavicius6 of 10 to the judges
8-2 in the last 10. 3 of 8 wins inside the distance; 1 of 2 losses were finishes.
- WDecisionvs Karine SilvaApr 2026
- LKO/TKO · R1vs Manon FiorotOct 2025
- WSubmission · R1vs Jessica AndradeMay 2025
- WDecisionvs Mayra Bueno SilvaFeb 2025
- WSubmission · R3vs Ariane Lipski da SilvaNov 2024
Fight statsEach fighter's own numbers from this bout. A longer bar is a bigger number; volt marks the higher one.History
The strike and takedown numbers for this bout have not been stored yet; they usually arrive within a day of the result.
Rates against the divisionEach fighter's striking and grappling rates from his box-scored fights; the tick on each bar is the division average and a full bar is the division's top 5%. Hover a row for what it measures. A rate with no box scores behind it reads no data, never a zero.History
from box-scored fights
Blanchfield11 fights · 123 minJasudavicius11 fights · 136 min
Striking
- 5.1Strikes landed / min3.45.1Strikes landed / min3.4
- 4.3Strikes absorbed / minlower is better3.54.3Strikes absorbed / minlower is better3.5
- 44%Striking accuracy44%44%Striking accuracy44%
- 58%Striking defense51%58%Striking defense51%
- 0.03Knockdowns / 15 min0.130.03Knockdowns / 15 min0.13
Grappling
- 1.9Takedowns / 15 min2.41.9Takedowns / 15 min2.4
- 34%Takedown accuracy43%34%Takedown accuracy43%
- 75%Takedown defense67%75%Takedown defense67%
- 0.8Sub. attempts / 15 min0.60.8Sub. attempts / 15 min0.6
- 0.02Ground advances / 15 min0.020.02Ground advances / 15 min0.02
Tick: Women's Flyweight average (37 fighters with 3+ tracked fights). Bars start at zero; a full bar is the division's top 5%. The better number of each row is bold.
Strike targets and paceStrike targets are the share of significant strikes to the head, body and legs. Pace is how long his tracked fights lasted and how often he finished early inside the first round.History
Where the strikes land
BlanchfieldHead 71% · Body 16% · Leg 14%
JasudaviciusHead 67% · Body 24% · Leg 9%
Pace
BlanchfieldJasudavicius
12.9 minAvg fight length12.1 min
1Round-1 finish wins1
12Tracked fights12
Erin Blanchfield
last 5 fights
Form: 4-1 in his last 5 · on W2. Since his last fight: 11 mo.
- Wvs Tracy CortezNov 16, 2025Submission · R2 · UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachevsig. str. 52/116 · abs. 46 · TD 2/3 · KD 0 · sub 1
- Wvs Rose NamajunasNov 3, 2024Decision - Unanimous · R5 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazisig. str. 110/281 · abs. 94 · TD 2/8 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Lvs Manon FiorotMar 31, 2024Decision - Unanimous · R5 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorotsig. str. 130/386 · abs. 172 · TD 0/3 · KD 0 · sub 1
- WUFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean ZombieAug 26, 2023Decision - Unanimous · R3sig. str. 61/128 · TD 0/14 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Wvs Jessica AndradeFeb 19, 2023Submission · R2 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfieldsig. str. 51/120 · abs. 53 · TD 1/3 · KD 0 · sub 1
Jasmine Jasudavicius
last 5 fights
Form: 4-1 in his last 5 · on W1. Since his last fight: 6 mo.
- Wvs Karine SilvaApr 19, 2026Decision - Unanimous · R3 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malottsig. str. 18/76 · abs. 15 · TD 3/5 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Lvs Manon FiorotOct 18, 2025KO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allensig. str. 2/14 · abs. 16 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Wvs Jessica AndradeMay 11, 2025Submission · R1 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenasig. str. 11/18 · abs. 4 · TD 1/2 · KD 0 · sub 1
- Wvs Mayra Bueno SilvaFeb 1, 2025Decision - Unanimous · R3 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavovsig. str. 56/105 · abs. 37 · TD 3/5 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Wvs Ariane Lipski da SilvaNov 3, 2024Submission · R3 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazisig. str. 36/84 · TD 3/5 · KD 0 · sub 1
Common opponentsOpponents both fighters have faced (latest meeting each). Check the dates.
4 shared
BlanchfieldOpponentJasudavicius
Blanchfield: full history · 11 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | vs Tracy CortezUFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev | WSubmission · R2 | 52/116 | 46 | 2/3 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024-11-03 | vs Rose NamajunasUFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi | WDecision - Unanimous · R5 | 110/281 | 94 | 2/8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-03-31 | vs Manon FiorotUFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot | LDecision - Unanimous · R5 | 130/386 | 172 | 0/3 | 0 | 1 |
| 2023-08-26 | UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 61/128 | — | 0/14 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-02-19 | vs Jessica AndradeUFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield | WSubmission · R2 | 51/120 | 53 | 1/3 | 0 | 1 |
| 2022-11-13 | vs Molly McCannUFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira | WSubmission · R1 | 25/38 | 7 | 1/1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2022-06-04 | vs JJ AldrichUFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik | WSubmission · R2 | 48/100 | 32 | 0/4 | 0 | 1 |
| 2021-12-11 | vs Miranda MaverickUFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 46/69 | 21 | 7/8 | 0 | 1 |
| 2021-09-18 | UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 120/210 | 41 | 3/3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-07-31 | vs Brogan WalkerInvicta FC 41: Morandin vs. Ruiz | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | no stats | ||||
| 2020-02-08 | Invicta FC 39: Frey vs. Cummins 2 | WKO/TKO · R2 | no stats | ||||
Jasudavicius: full history · 11 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | vs Karine SilvaUFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 18/76 | 15 | 3/5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | vs Manon FiorotUFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen | LKO/TKO · R1 | 2/14 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-05-11 | vs Jessica AndradeUFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena | WSubmission · R1 | 11/18 | 4 | 1/2 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs Mayra Bueno SilvaUFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 56/105 | 37 | 3/5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-11-03 | vs Ariane Lipski da SilvaUFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi | WSubmission · R3 | 36/84 | — | 3/5 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024-07-13 | vs Fatima KlineUFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 40/89 | 39 | 4/6 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs Priscila CachoeiraUFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis | WSubmission · R3 | 93/120 | 24 | 2/5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2023-09-16 | vs Tracy CortezNoche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 77/206 | 103 | 2/10 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-06-11 | vs Miranda MaverickUFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 67/158 | 63 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-02-25 | vs Gabriella FernandesUFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 24/54 | 26 | 4/8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-06-18 | vs Natalia SilvaUFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 31/101 | 96 | 0/6 | 0 | 0 |
Line shop (closing prices)Each US sportsbook's moneyline and rounds line; bold = the best price on that side.
last prices before the fight started
Jasudavicius 26%no-vig implied win %Each fighter's no-vig implied win % from the best moneylines. The market's view, not ours.74% Blanchfield
| Book | Jasudavicius | Blanchfield | Rounds | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | +275 BetMGM | −325 DraftKings | 2.5 | −345 | +280 |
| BetMGM | +275 | −350 | — | — | — |
| DraftKings | +260 | −325 | 2.5 | −345 | +250 |
| FanDuel | +265 | −330 | 2.5 | −350 | +270 |
| Hard Rock | +250 | −325 | 2.5 | −425 | +275 |
| Caesars | +265 | −340 | 2.5 | −400 | +280 |
Line movementEach fighter's no-vig win chance from the median book, every hour since lines opened.
Jasudavicius31% → 26%▼ -4.4Blanchfield69% → 74%▲ +4.4
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Jasudavicius31% → 26%▼ -4.4Blanchfield69% → 74%▲ +4.4
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Fighter numbers are from tracked fights. Prices are the best at US sportsbooks and win chances take the margin out: the books' view, not a forecast. Descriptive data. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.