Cody Chovancek vs SuYoung You
5:00 PM ET· scheduledThin market — no sportsbook has priced this fight. Every probability below is model-only, with nothing to check it against.
Model pickThe fight model's single most likely outcome: predicted winner, their most likely method of victory, and whether it ends inside the distance. Full probability breakdown below.
Cody Chovancekby DEC
59% to win · 27% that it’s by DEC · 61% this goes the distance
Model fair price -141
Longest single script: You by DEC (34.6%) — Chovancek's win chances split across methods, so the other side's one likeliest path outscores each of theirs.The pick above is the predicted winner and their most likely method. But across all six winner-and-method combos, this one single outcome carries the most probability — worth a look on method-of-victory markets, where it usually pays plus-money.
Probetrics fight model
SuYoung You
41% +141
Cody Chovancek
59% -141
How it ends
You by KO/TKO
1.8%
fair +5472
You by SUB
5.0%
fair +1891
You by DEC
34.6%
fair +189
Chovancek by KO/TKO
21.2%
fair +371
Chovancek by SUB
10.6%
fair +842
Chovancek by DEC
26.7%
fair +274
“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.
When it ends
Ends in R120.9%fair +379
Ends in R211.5%fair +771
Ends in R36.3%fair +1484
Goes distance61.3%fair -159
How this fight plays out
The model makes Chovancek a solid 59% favorite. Expect You to chase the takedown (2.8/15 min at 38%) while Chovancek tries to keep it standing. Chovancek's most likely path is on the scorecards (27%), and the fight goes the distance 61% of the time.
Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.
Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.