You vs Chovancek
SuYoung You beat Cody Chovancek by submission in round 3 at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott on Oct 17, 2026.
Rounds 2.5 · over −180 · under +154
5 US books
How it endsThe books' no-vig prices for every way the fight can end. The books price the round and the method separately (never a method inside a given round). Each number is the median chance across books with their margin removed; the price beside it is the best at a US sportsbook. The chance it is still going after a round is read off the round prices.Market
The books gave Chovancek 54% to win; it went the distance 53% of the time, and the likeliest single ending was Chovancek by decision (26.6%).
Outlined: the likeliest single ending. Still going: the chance it has not ended by the end of that round. Rounds line, no vig: over 2.5 rounds 61%. Tap a cell for its price.
How their last fights endedEach fighter's tracked fights before this one, oldest to newest.History
8-2 in the last 10. 2 of 8 wins inside the distance; 2 of 2 losses were finishes.
- LSubmission · R2vs Elijah SmithMar 2026
- WDecisionvs Xiao LongAug 2025
- WDecisionvs AJ CunninghamMar 2025
- WDecisionUFC Fight Night: Yan vs. FigueiredoNov 2024
- WDecisionRoad to UFC: Season 3, Episode 5Aug 2024
9-0 in the last 9. 6 of 9 wins inside the distance.
- WKO/TKO · R3vs Raphael UchegbuSep 2025
- WDecisionUnified MMA 62May 2025
- WSubmission · R5Unified MMA 57Jun 2024
- WKO/TKO · R1Unified MMA 54Dec 2023
- WDecisionUnified MMA 51Jun 2023
Fight statsEach fighter's own numbers from this bout. A longer bar is a bigger number; volt marks the higher one.History
The strike and takedown numbers for this bout have not been stored yet; they usually arrive within a day of the result.
Rates against the divisionEach fighter's striking and grappling rates from his box-scored fights; the tick on each bar is the division average and a full bar is the division's top 5%. Hover a row for what it measures. A rate with no box scores behind it reads no data, never a zero.History
- 2.8Strikes landed / min3.62.8Strikes landed / min3.6
- 3.1Strikes absorbed / minlower is betterno data3.1Strikes absorbed / minlower is betterno data
- 52%Striking accuracy50%52%Striking accuracy50%
- 66%Striking defenseno data66%Striking defenseno data
- 0.07Knockdowns / 15 min1.380.07Knockdowns / 15 min1.38
- 2.8Takedowns / 15 min0.92.8Takedowns / 15 min0.9
- 38%Takedown accuracyno data38%Takedown accuracyno data
- no dataTakedown defenseno datano dataTakedown defenseno data
- 0.3Sub. attempts / 15 min0.20.3Sub. attempts / 15 min0.2
- 0.05Ground advances / 15 min0.140.05Ground advances / 15 min0.14
Tick: Bantamweight average (103 fighters with 3+ tracked fights). Bars start at zero; a full bar is the division's top 5%. The better number of each row is bold. Grey rates are a small sample: under 30 tracked minutes behind them.
Strike targets and paceStrike targets are the share of significant strikes to the head, body and legs. Pace is how long his tracked fights lasted and how often he finished early inside the first round.History
SuYoung You
Form: 4-1 in his last 5 · on L1. Since his last fight: 7 mo.
- Lvs Elijah SmithMar 14, 2026Submission · R2 · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejossig. str. 3/3 · abs. 16 · TD 4/8 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Wvs Xiao LongAug 23, 2025Decision - Unanimous · R3 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangsig. str. 58/110 · abs. 68 · TD 0/6 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Wvs AJ CunninghamMar 15, 2025Decision - Unanimous · R3 · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2sig. str. 18/32 · abs. 16 · TD 5/10 · KD 0 · sub 1
- WUFC Fight Night: Yan vs. FigueiredoNov 23, 2024Decision - Unanimous · R3sig. str. 42/87 · TD 2/5 · KD 0 · sub 0
- WRoad to UFC: Season 3, Episode 5Aug 24, 2024Decision - Split · R3no stats
Cody Chovancek
Form: 5-0 in his last 5 · on W9. Since his last fight: 13 mo.
- Wvs Raphael UchegbuSep 17, 2025KO/TKO · R3 · Dana White's Contender Series: Season 9, Week 6sig. str. 29/58 · TD 0 · KD 2 · sub 0
- WUnified MMA 62May 30, 2025Decision - Unanimous · R5no stats
- WUnified MMA 57Jun 14, 2024Submission (Calf Slicer) · R5no stats
- WUnified MMA 54Dec 15, 2023TKO (Punches) · R1no stats
- WUnified MMA 51Jun 23, 2023Decision - Unanimous · R3no stats
You: full history · 10 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | vs Elijah SmithUFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos | LSubmission · R2 | 3/3 | 16 | 4/8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | vs Xiao LongUFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 58/110 | 68 | 0/6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-03-15 | vs AJ CunninghamUFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 18/32 | 16 | 5/10 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024-11-23 | UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 42/87 | — | 2/5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-08-24 | Road to UFC: Season 3, Episode 5 | WDecision - Split · R3 | no stats | ||||
| 2024-05-19 | Road to UFC: Season 3, Episode 3 | WDecision - Unanimous · R1 | no stats | ||||
| 2023-12-21 | Naiza Fighting Championship 56 | LKO/TKO · R3 | no stats | ||||
| 2023-09-18 | Deep: 115 Impact | WKO/TKO · R1 | no stats | ||||
| 2022-12-31 | Black Combat 4: The Era of New Kings | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | no stats | ||||
| 2022-09-23 | Naiza Fighting Championship 44 | WSubmission (Arm Triangle) · R4 | no stats | ||||
Chovancek: full history · 9 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | vs Raphael UchegbuDana White's Contender Series: Season 9, Week 6 | WKO/TKO · R3 | 29/58 | — | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2025-05-30 | Unified MMA 62 | WDecision - Unanimous · R5 | no stats | ||||
| 2024-06-14 | Unified MMA 57 | WSubmission (Calf Slicer) · R5 | no stats | ||||
| 2023-12-15 | Unified MMA 54 | WTKO (Punches) · R1 | no stats | ||||
| 2023-06-23 | Unified MMA 51 | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | no stats | ||||
| 2022-12-10 | BTC 18: Next Generation | WTKO (Punches) · R2 | no stats | ||||
| 2022-07-09 | BTC 16: Challenger Series 1 | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | no stats | ||||
| 2022-03-05 | BTC 14: Clash | WSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · R1 | no stats | ||||
| 2021-11-20 | BTC 13: Power | WTKO (Punches) · R2 | no stats | ||||
Line shop (closing prices)Each US sportsbook's moneyline and rounds line; bold = the best price on that side.
| Book | Chovancek | You | Rounds | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | −120 Caesars | +114 DraftKings | 2.5 | −180 | +154 |
| BetMGM | −125 | +105 | — | — | — |
| DraftKings | −135 | +114 | 2.5 | −180 | +140 |
| FanDuel | −126 | +108 | 2.5 | −188 | +154 |
| Hard Rock | −135 | +110 | 2.5 | −190 | +140 |
| Caesars | −120 | +100 | 2.5 | −181 | +140 |
Line movementEach fighter's no-vig win chance from the median book, every hour since lines opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Fighter numbers are from tracked fights. Prices are the best at US sportsbooks and win chances take the margin out: the books' view, not a forecast. Descriptive data. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.