Loading the game…
⌘K
The Hawks (46-36 in 2025–26) host the Bulls (31-51 in 2025–26) on Dec 29, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
CHI offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · ATL defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
ATL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CHI defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CHIATL
Expected pace: about 105 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
CHIATLNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nickeil Alexander-Walker's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey | 33.0 | 12.2 | 7.7 | 10.7 |
| Matas Buzelis | 31.0 | 18.2 | 7.2 | 1.7 |
| Leonard Miller | 27.1 | 14.6 | 6.9 | 1.5 |
| Tre Jones | 27.0 | 18.2 | 4.1 | 5.1 |
| Collin Sexton | 26.7 | 18.6 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
| Isaac Okoro | 26.6 | 11.0 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Patrick Williams | 23.9 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| Guerschon Yabusele | 23.6 | 9.7 | 5.2 | 1.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 35.0 | 20.3 | 9.8 | 7.0 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 33.8 | 24.6 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| Dyson Daniels | 32.5 | 13.8 | 7.9 | 4.8 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 29.9 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 2.7 |
| CJ McCollum | 29.6 | 18.9 | 2.6 | 4.9 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 21.3 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 1.8 |
| Jock Landale | 20.9 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 16.3 | 7.5 | 3.7 | 0.6 |
CHI offenseper gameATL defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
CHI offense vs ATL defenseATL offense vs CHI defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
CHIForAgainst47% of CHI's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
ATLForAgainst52% of ATL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CHI 7series3 ATL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | CHI 126 | ATL 123 | CHI+3 | +3 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | CHI 152 | ATL 150 | CHI+2 | +2 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | ATL 123 | CHI 128 | CHI+5 | +5 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | ATL 110 | CHI 94 | ATL+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2024 | CHI 133 | ATL 141 | ATL+8 | +8 |
| Nov 22, 2024 | ATL 122 | CHI 136 | CHI+14 | +14 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | CHI 125 | ATL 113 | CHI+12 | +12 |
| Apr 17, 2024 | ATL 116 | CHI 131 | CHI+15 | +15 |
| Apr 1, 2024 | ATL 113 | CHI 101 | ATL+12 | +12 |
| Feb 12, 2024 | CHI 136 | ATL 126 | CHI+10 | +10 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CHI31-51 · last 82 games | ATL46-36 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd quarter points for | 27.7#26 of 30 | 30.1#3 of 30 | 28.8 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 124.4#3 of 30 | 114.0#18 of 30 | 115.6 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 115.5#9 of 30 | 110.9#20 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −4.9#22 of 30 | +2.3#12 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.