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The Grizzlies (25-57 in 2025–26) host the Bucks (32-50 in 2025–26) on Dec 12, 2026, 5:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
MIL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MEM defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
MEM offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups · MIL defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MILMEM
Expected pace: about 102 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ryan Rollins's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ousmane Dieng | 31.5 | 13.9 | 5.3 | 4.9 |
| Ryan Rollins | 30.4 | 21.3 | 4.2 | 5.4 |
| AJ Green | 29.5 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Pete Nance | 27.5 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 2.1 |
| Taurean Prince | 27.0 | 12.1 | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| Jericho Sims | 26.4 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 3.1 |
| Bobby Portis | 25.7 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 2.0 |
| Cormac Ryan | 24.5 | 14.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Okani | 36.2 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| Rayan Rupert | 34.3 | 14.7 | 7.8 | 4.0 |
| Lucas Williamson | 32.0 | 10.4 | 5.4 | 2.6 |
| Jahmai Mashack | 31.9 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| Dariq Whitehead | 30.5 | 16.3 | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| Adama Bal | 30.1 | 10.4 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Tyler Burton | 25.4 | 12.7 | 4.0 | 1.1 |
| GG Jackson | 25.1 | 18.0 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
MIL offenseper gameMEM defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
MIL offense vs MEM defenseMEM offense vs MIL defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
MILForAgainst49% of MIL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
MEMForAgainst49% of MEM's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MIL 2series6 MEM| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | MEM 115 | MIL 131 | MIL+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | MIL 104 | MEM 125 | MEM+21 | +21 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | MEM 132 | MIL 119 | MEM+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | MIL 99 | MEM 122 | MEM+23 | +23 |
| Apr 3, 2024 | MEM 111 | MIL 101 | MEM+10 | +10 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MIL 110 | MEM 113 | MEM+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2023 | MEM 116 | MIL 124 | MIL+8 | +8 |
| Oct 10, 2023 | MIL 102 | MEM 108 | MEM+6 | +6 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MIL32-50 · last 82 games | MEM25-57 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 100.3#24 of 30 | 104.4#7 of 30 | 102.5 |
| 4th quarter points against | 27.5#19 of 30 | 29.8#3 of 30 | 27.7 |
| 1st quarter points for | 27.4#29 of 30 | 29.4#14 of 30 | 29.4 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.5#4 of 30 | 115.6#7 of 30 | 112.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.