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The Bucks (32-50 in 2025–26) host the Spurs (62-20 in 2025–26) on Nov 30, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
SAS offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MIL defense in 0
MIL offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · SAS defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SASMIL
Expected pace: about 102 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
SASMILNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Victor Wembanyama's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle | 30.6 | 17.0 | 6.6 | 9.3 |
| Devin Vassell | 29.8 | 12.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 |
| Victor Wembanyama | 28.6 | 27.8 | 13.0 | 3.8 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 28.6 | 16.4 | 3.8 | 5.6 |
| Julian Champagnie | 27.1 | 10.9 | 5.5 | 1.7 |
| Dylan Harper | 24.4 | 14.1 | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| Keldon Johnson | 23.5 | 15.0 | 4.6 | 1.5 |
| Harrison Barnes | 21.8 | 8.9 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ousmane Dieng | 31.5 | 13.9 | 5.3 | 4.9 |
| Ryan Rollins | 30.4 | 21.3 | 4.2 | 5.4 |
| AJ Green | 29.5 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Pete Nance | 27.5 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 2.1 |
| Taurean Prince | 27.0 | 12.1 | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| Jericho Sims | 26.4 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 3.1 |
| Bobby Portis | 25.7 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 2.0 |
| Cormac Ryan | 24.5 | 14.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
SAS offenseper gameMIL defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
SAS offense vs MIL defenseMIL offense vs SAS defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
SASForAgainst50% of SAS's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
MILForAgainst49% of MIL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SAS 3series3 MIL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | SAS 127 | MIL 95 | SAS+32 | +32 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | MIL 101 | SAS 119 | SAS+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025 | MIL 118 | SAS 144 | SAS+26 | +26 |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SAS 105 | MIL 121 | MIL+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | MIL 125 | SAS 121 | MIL+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | SAS 119 | MIL 132 | MIL+13 | +13 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SAS62-20 · last 82 games | MIL32-50 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points for | 31.9#1 of 30 | 27.4#29 of 30 | 29.4 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 108.5#28 of 30 | 116.5#4 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +8.0#2 of 30 | −4.0#25 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +8.1#2 of 30 | −6.2#25 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.