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The Mavericks (26-56 in 2025–26) host the Celtics (56-26 in 2025–26) on Nov 30, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
BOS offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · DAL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
DAL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BOS defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BOSDAL
Expected pace: about 102 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
BOS is not among the softest third of defenses in any of these categories.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
BOSDALNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jaylen Brown's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 36.5 | 31.4 | 6.2 | 5.1 |
| Jayson Tatum | 34.1 | 22.4 | 10.5 | 5.6 |
| Derrick White | 32.8 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Payton Pritchard | 31.5 | 18.9 | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| Neemias Queta | 27.0 | 11.2 | 8.3 | 2.7 |
| Sam Hauser | 25.3 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 24.4 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Jordan Walsh | 21.2 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 33.1 | 24.7 | 6.8 | 5.3 |
| P.J. Washington | 32.1 | 16.3 | 7.8 | 1.0 |
| Naji Marshall | 30.4 | 17.4 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Max Christie | 27.9 | 10.4 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Moussa Cisse | 26.0 | 10.8 | 12.5 | 0.3 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 24.2 | 7.9 | 3.5 | 7.0 |
| Daniel Gafford | 22.0 | 13.3 | 7.1 | 1.3 |
| Brandon Williams | 21.6 | 12.8 | 2.1 | 4.5 |
BOS offenseper gameDAL defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
BOS offense vs DAL defenseDAL offense vs BOS defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
BOSForAgainst52% of BOS's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
DALForAgainst51% of DAL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BOS 8series2 DAL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | DAL 100 | BOS 120 | BOS+20 | +20 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | BOS 110 | DAL 100 | BOS+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | DAL 127 | BOS 120 | DAL+7 | +7 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BOS 122 | DAL 107 | BOS+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2024 | DAL 88 | BOS 106 | BOS+18 | +18 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | BOS 84 | DAL 122 | DAL+38 | +38 |
| Jun 12, 2024 | BOS 106 | DAL 99 | BOS+7 | +7 |
| Jun 9, 2024 | DAL 98 | BOS 105 | BOS+7 | +7 |
| Jun 6, 2024 | DAL 89 | BOS 107 | BOS+18 | +18 |
| Mar 1, 2024 | DAL 110 | BOS 138 | BOS+28 | +28 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BOS56-26 · last 82 games | DAL26-56 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 107.3#30 of 30 | 119.9#3 of 30 | 115.6 |
| Possessions per game | 98.0#30 of 30 | 105.1#4 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 117.2#2 of 30 | 108.6#27 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +7.6#3 of 30 | −3.5#22 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.