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The Magic (45-37 in 2025–26) host the Pistons (60-22 in 2025–26) on Nov 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
DET offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ORL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
ORL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · DET defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DETORL
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
DETORLNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jalen Duren's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniss Jenkins | 31.4 | 16.0 | 3.9 | 6.9 |
| Jalen Duren | 30.4 | 22.8 | 10.2 | 3.2 |
| Ausar Thompson | 27.5 | 9.1 | 5.5 | 3.9 |
| Duncan Robinson | 26.6 | 13.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Tobias Harris | 25.5 | 13.3 | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| Kevin Huerter | 24.3 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Cade Cunningham | 20.3 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 7.8 |
| Caris LeVert | 18.7 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero | 33.9 | 22.2 | 7.6 | 5.9 |
| Desmond Bane | 30.7 | 17.9 | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Jalen Suggs | 30.4 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 27.9 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 1.4 |
| Tristan da Silva | 26.3 | 11.4 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| Franz Wagner | 21.3 | 17.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| Jamal Cain | 20.0 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| Jevon Carter | 19.9 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
DET offenseper gameORL defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
DET offense vs ORL defenseORL offense vs DET defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
DETForAgainst52% of DET's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
ORLForAgainst54% of ORL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DET 5series5 ORL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | ORL 94 | DET 116 | DET+22 | +22 |
| May 1, 2026 | DET 93 | ORL 79 | DET+14 | +14 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | ORL 109 | DET 116 | DET+7 | +7 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | DET 88 | ORL 94 | ORL+6 | +6 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | DET 105 | ORL 113 | ORL+8 | +8 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | ORL 83 | DET 98 | DET+15 | +15 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | ORL 112 | DET 101 | ORL+11 | +11 |
| Apr 6, 2026 | DET 107 | ORL 123 | ORL+16 | +16 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | DET 106 | ORL 92 | DET+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | ORL 112 | DET 109 | ORL+3 | +3 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DET60-22 · last 82 games | ORL45-37 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +5.8#4 of 30 | +1.6#18 of 30 | 0.0 |
| 2nd quarter points against | 27.4#25 of 30 | 29.3#11 of 30 | 28.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +7.9#3 of 30 | +0.6#17 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.5#29 of 30 | 111.3#18 of 30 | 112.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.