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The Raptors (46-36 in 2025–26) host the Bucks (32-50 in 2025–26) on Nov 23, 2026, 7:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
MIL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · TOR defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
TOR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MIL defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MILTOR
Expected pace: about 101 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
MILTORNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ryan Rollins's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ousmane Dieng | 31.5 | 13.9 | 5.3 | 4.9 |
| Ryan Rollins | 30.4 | 21.3 | 4.2 | 5.4 |
| AJ Green | 29.5 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Pete Nance | 27.5 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 2.1 |
| Taurean Prince | 27.0 | 12.1 | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| Jericho Sims | 26.4 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 3.1 |
| Bobby Portis | 25.7 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 2.0 |
| Cormac Ryan | 24.5 | 14.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 31.9 | 19.2 | 5.3 | 3.3 |
| RJ Barrett | 30.3 | 20.2 | 4.6 | 3.4 |
| Scottie Barnes | 30.0 | 15.7 | 5.9 | 8.4 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 26.6 | 11.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Jamal Shead | 25.1 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 6.8 |
| Immanuel Quickley | 24.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.8 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 23.2 | 12.1 | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 21.7 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 2.1 |
MIL offenseper gameTOR defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
MIL offense vs TOR defenseTOR offense vs MIL defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
MILForAgainst49% of MIL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
TORForAgainst49% of TOR's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MIL 5series5 TOR| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | TOR 122 | MIL 94 | TOR+28 | +28 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | TOR 111 | MIL 105 | TOR+6 | +6 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | MIL 100 | TOR 128 | TOR+28 | +28 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | MIL 122 | TOR 116 | MIL+6 | +6 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TOR 112 | MIL 130 | MIL+18 | +18 |
| Jan 6, 2025 | MIL 128 | TOR 104 | MIL+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024 | TOR 85 | MIL 99 | MIL+14 | +14 |
| Apr 5, 2024 | TOR 117 | MIL 111 | TOR+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2023 | MIL 128 | TOR 112 | MIL+16 | +16 |
| Nov 1, 2023 | MIL 111 | TOR 130 | TOR+19 | +19 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MIL32-50 · last 82 games | TOR46-36 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3rd quarter points for | 27.4#28 of 30 | 30.7#3 of 30 | 29.2 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.5#4 of 30 | 110.1#25 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −8.4#24 of 30 | +4.5#10 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −6.2#25 of 30 | +2.8#11 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.