Loading the game…
⌘K
The Nuggets (54-28 in 2025–26) host the Celtics (56-26 in 2025–26) on Nov 18, 2026, 9:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
BOS offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · DEN defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
DEN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BOS defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BOSDEN
Expected pace: about 100 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
BOS is not among the softest third of defenses in any of these categories.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
BOSDENNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jaylen Brown's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 36.5 | 31.4 | 6.2 | 5.1 |
| Jayson Tatum | 34.1 | 22.4 | 10.5 | 5.6 |
| Derrick White | 32.8 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Payton Pritchard | 31.5 | 18.9 | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| Neemias Queta | 27.0 | 11.2 | 8.3 | 2.7 |
| Sam Hauser | 25.3 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 24.4 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Jordan Walsh | 21.2 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 37.1 | 24.0 | 4.8 | 7.2 |
| Nikola Jokic | 35.4 | 24.0 | 13.6 | 11.8 |
| Christian Braun | 31.7 | 14.6 | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| Cameron Johnson | 31.2 | 15.1 | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| Aaron Gordon | 29.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 3.1 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24.0 | 12.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Bruce Brown | 22.1 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| David Roddy | 20.3 | 12.7 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
BOS offenseper gameDEN defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
BOS offense vs DEN defenseDEN offense vs BOS defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
BOSForAgainst52% of BOS's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
DENForAgainst50% of DEN's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BOS 4series4 DEN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | BOS 84 | DEN 103 | DEN+19 | +19 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | DEN 114 | BOS 110 | DEN+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | DEN 103 | BOS 110 | BOS+7 | +7 |
| Jan 7, 2025 | BOS 118 | DEN 106 | BOS+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2024 | DEN 104 | BOS 130 | BOS+26 | +26 |
| Oct 4, 2024 | BOS 107 | DEN 103 | BOS+4 | +4 |
| Mar 7, 2024 | BOS 109 | DEN 115 | DEN+6 | +6 |
| Jan 19, 2024 | DEN 102 | BOS 100 | DEN+2 | +2 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BOS56-26 · last 82 games | DEN54-28 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 53.5#30 of 30 | 59.6#5 of 30 | 57.5 |
| 2nd half points for | 55.7#25 of 30 | 61.9#1 of 30 | 57.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.4#27 of 30 | 114.5#10 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Possessions per game | 98.0#30 of 30 | 102.1#20 of 30 | 102.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.