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The Magic (45-37 in 2025–26) host the Bucks (32-50 in 2025–26) on Nov 13, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
MIL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ORL defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
ORL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MIL defense in 1 · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MILORL
Expected pace: about 102 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
MILORLNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Paolo Banchero's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ousmane Dieng | 31.5 | 13.9 | 5.3 | 4.9 |
| Ryan Rollins | 30.4 | 21.3 | 4.2 | 5.4 |
| AJ Green | 29.5 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Pete Nance | 27.5 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 2.1 |
| Taurean Prince | 27.0 | 12.1 | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| Jericho Sims | 26.4 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 3.1 |
| Bobby Portis | 25.7 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 2.0 |
| Cormac Ryan | 24.5 | 14.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero | 33.9 | 22.2 | 7.6 | 5.9 |
| Desmond Bane | 30.7 | 17.9 | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Jalen Suggs | 30.4 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 27.9 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 1.4 |
| Tristan da Silva | 26.3 | 11.4 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| Franz Wagner | 21.3 | 17.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| Jamal Cain | 20.0 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| Jevon Carter | 19.9 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
MIL offenseper gameORL defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
MIL offense vs ORL defenseORL offense vs MIL defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
MILForAgainst49% of MIL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
ORLForAgainst54% of ORL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MIL 6series4 ORL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | ORL 130 | MIL 91 | ORL+39 | +39 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | MIL 116 | ORL 108 | MIL+8 | +8 |
| Feb 9, 2026 | MIL 99 | ORL 118 | ORL+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | ORL 111 | MIL 109 | ORL+2 | +2 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | ORL 93 | MIL 122 | MIL+29 | +29 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | MIL 109 | ORL 106 | MIL+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | ORL 109 | MIL 114 | MIL+5 | +5 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | MIL 88 | ORL 113 | ORL+25 | +25 |
| Apr 10, 2024 | ORL 99 | MIL 117 | MIL+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | ORL 114 | MIL 118 | MIL+4 | +4 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MIL32-50 · last 82 games | ORL45-37 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 55.8#29 of 30 | 58.4#13 of 30 | 58.2 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.5#4 of 30 | 111.3#18 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Possessions per game | 100.3#24 of 30 | 103.4#12 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Scoring margin | −6.2#25 of 30 | +0.6#17 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.