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The Warriors (37-45 in 2025–26) host the Pelicans (26-56 in 2025–26) on Nov 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
NOP offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · GSW defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
GSW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · NOP defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NOPGSW
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
NOPGSWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Stephen Curry's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III | 36.3 | 17.4 | 6.1 | 3.6 |
| Saddiq Bey | 32.9 | 19.3 | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| Zion Williamson | 30.3 | 19.2 | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| Dejounte Murray | 29.1 | 15.9 | 5.4 | 7.3 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 27.9 | 19.2 | 3.4 | 4.1 |
| Josh Oduro | 27.0 | 8.3 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| Herbert Jones | 26.7 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Derik Queen | 24.0 | 11.5 | 7.2 | 2.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 29.7 | 17.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| Gui Santos | 29.4 | 15.3 | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| Draymond Green | 29.0 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 6.4 |
| Stephen Curry | 26.8 | 20.3 | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 25.0 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 2.3 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 24.2 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Pat Spencer | 23.0 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Gary Payton II | 21.5 | 12.1 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
NOP offenseper gameGSW defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
NOP offense vs GSW defenseGSW offense vs NOP defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
NOPForAgainst49% of NOP's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
GSWForAgainst49% of GSW's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
NOP 3series7 GSW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | GSW 109 | NOP 113 | NOP+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | NOP 96 | GSW 104 | GSW+8 | +8 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | GSW 124 | NOP 106 | GSW+18 | +18 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | GSW 111 | NOP 95 | GSW+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2024 | GSW 112 | NOP 108 | GSW+4 | +4 |
| Oct 30, 2024 | NOP 89 | GSW 104 | GSW+15 | +15 |
| Oct 29, 2024 | NOP 106 | GSW 124 | GSW+18 | +18 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | NOP 114 | GSW 109 | NOP+5 | +5 |
| Jan 10, 2024 | NOP 141 | GSW 105 | NOP+36 | +36 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2023 | GSW 130 | NOP 102 | GSW+28 | +28 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NOP26-56 · last 82 games | GSW37-45 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points against | 31.0#4 of 30 | 28.8#19 of 30 | 29.4 |
| 2nd quarter points for | 29.0#13 of 30 | 27.7#27 of 30 | 28.8 |
| Possessions per game | 103.8#10 of 30 | 102.3#18 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 115.6#8 of 30 | 112.6#14 of 30 | 112.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.