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The Grizzlies (25-57 in 2025–26) host the Thunder (64-18 in 2025–26) on Nov 6, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
OKC offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MEM defense in 0
MEM offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · OKC defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
OKCMEM
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
OKCMEMNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.7 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 6.4 |
| Chet Holmgren | 27.2 | 16.6 | 8.3 | 1.4 |
| Jalen Williams | 25.9 | 15.4 | 4.4 | 5.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 23.6 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Cason Wallace | 22.8 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Nikola Topic | 21.6 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 6.8 |
| Luguentz Dort | 21.0 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 20.3 | 5.8 | 10.1 | 3.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Okani | 36.2 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| Rayan Rupert | 34.3 | 14.7 | 7.8 | 4.0 |
| Lucas Williamson | 32.0 | 10.4 | 5.4 | 2.6 |
| Jahmai Mashack | 31.9 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| Dariq Whitehead | 30.5 | 16.3 | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| Adama Bal | 30.1 | 10.4 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Tyler Burton | 25.4 | 12.7 | 4.0 | 1.1 |
| GG Jackson | 25.1 | 18.0 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
OKC offenseper gameMEM defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
OKC offense vs MEM defenseMEM offense vs OKC defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
OKCForAgainst50% of OKC's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
MEMForAgainst49% of MEM's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
OKC 10series0 MEM| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | OKC 117 | MEM 116 | OKC+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | MEM 103 | OKC 119 | OKC+16 | +16 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | OKC 114 | MEM 100 | OKC+14 | +14 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | OKC 117 | MEM 115 | OKC+2 | +2 |
| Apr 24, 2025 | OKC 114 | MEM 108 | OKC+6 | +6 |
| Apr 22, 2025 | MEM 99 | OKC 118 | OKC+19 | +19 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | MEM 80 | OKC 131 | OKC+51 | +51 |
| Mar 27, 2025 | MEM 104 | OKC 125 | OKC+21 | +21 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OKC 120 | MEM 103 | OKC+17 | +17 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OKC 125 | MEM 112 | OKC+13 | +13 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | OKC64-18 · last 82 games | MEM25-57 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 108.3#29 of 30 | 119.6#5 of 30 | 115.6 |
| Scoring margin | +11.1#1 of 30 | −6.0#24 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 105.1#30 of 30 | 115.6#7 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +10.9#1 of 30 | −5.8#24 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.