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The Warriors (37-45 in 2025–26) host the Clippers (42-40 in 2025–26) on Nov 1, 2026, 8:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
LAC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · GSW defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
GSW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LAC defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
LACGSW
Expected pace: about 101 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
LACGSWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Kawhi Leonard's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard | 31.1 | 26.1 | 6.5 | 3.3 |
| Darius Garland | 30.5 | 20.3 | 2.2 | 6.5 |
| Brook Lopez | 27.8 | 11.5 | 5.9 | 1.9 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 26.4 | 8.0 | 4.3 | 1.6 |
| Kris Dunn | 25.6 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 25.5 | 13.6 | 4.6 | 2.9 |
| John Collins | 25.2 | 12.9 | 6.0 | 1.3 |
| Jordan Miller | 24.8 | 11.9 | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 29.7 | 17.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| Gui Santos | 29.4 | 15.3 | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| Draymond Green | 29.0 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 6.4 |
| Stephen Curry | 26.8 | 20.3 | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 25.0 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 2.3 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 24.2 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Pat Spencer | 23.0 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Gary Payton II | 21.5 | 12.1 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
LAC offenseper gameGSW defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
LAC offense vs GSW defenseGSW offense vs LAC defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
LACForAgainst49% of LAC's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
GSWForAgainst49% of GSW's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
LAC 8series2 GSW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | GSW 101 | LAC 104 | LAC+3 | +3 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | GSW 126 | LAC 121 | GSW+5 | +5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | GSW 110 | LAC 115 | LAC+5 | +5 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | LAC 114 | GSW 101 | LAC+13 | +13 |
| Jan 5, 2026 | GSW 102 | LAC 103 | LAC+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | LAC 79 | GSW 98 | GSW+19 | +19 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | LAC 106 | GSW 103 | LAC+3 | +3 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | LAC 124 | GSW 119 | LAC+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | GSW 92 | LAC 102 | LAC+10 | +10 |
| Nov 18, 2024 | GSW 99 | LAC 102 | LAC+3 | +3 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | LAC42-40 · last 82 games | GSW37-45 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points for | 29.2#15 of 30 | 28.4#26 of 30 | 29.4 |
| Possessions per game | 99.4#29 of 30 | 102.3#18 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 113.9#21 of 30 | 115.8#12 of 30 | 115.6 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 114.5#10 of 30 | 112.0#18 of 30 | 112.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.