The Timberwolves beat the Bucks 116–97 in Milwaukee on Oct 5, 2026.
Closing line· 3 books· best MIN -200 BetMGM · MIL +186 FanDuel
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 29 | 21 | 35 | 116 | |
| 20 | 28 | 28 | 21 | 97 |
| MIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 18 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4-13 | 1-7 |
| LaMelo Ball | 17 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Rudy Gobert | 17 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 15 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Zyon Pullin | 16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 16 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Joan Beringer | 15 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Antonio Reeves | 12 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5-5 | 2-2 |
| Trey Lyles | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Cody Williams | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Jaylen Clark | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| KJ Martin | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Norchad Omier | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bones Hyland | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Evans | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-4 |
| Rocco Zikarsky | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Enrique Freeman | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Drew Timme | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Totals | 116 | 51 | 22 | 40-87 | 9-35 |
| MIL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma | 20 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Herro | 19 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 2-4 |
| Myles Turner | 19 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Ryan Rollins | 14 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-7 |
| Kel'el Ware | 24 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 5-11 | 2-6 |
| AJ Green | 22 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Jericho Sims | 19 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 18 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Brayden Burries | 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 3-10 | 1-3 |
| Nate Ament | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Caris LeVert | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Pete Nance | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Totals | 97 | 47 | 19 | 30-91 | 16-47 |
Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.
This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).
| Team | Made | FG% | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 40-87 | 46% | 9-35 26% |
| MIL | 30-91 | 33% | 16-47 34% |
From charted shot locations; free throws have none. Both teams are drawn at one basket. Made and FG% follow the shot type chosen above; 3PT is always the threes. Descriptive history of this game.
MIN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MIL defense in 0 · 1 even
MIL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · MIN defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 102 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Crew chiefBen Taylor · also working Jonathan Sterling
Counts per game across his last 31 games next to the league's over the same dates (bar: 90% range, dot: his average, line: the league's). History, not a forecast.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Julius Randle's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 33.1 | 22.1 | 5.8 | 4.6 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 32.6 | 18.3 | 6.4 | 4.4 |
| Rudy Gobert | 30.5 | 10.8 | 12.3 | 1.2 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 30.4 | 16.1 | 4.1 | 2.3 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 28.3 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Anthony Edwards | 28.3 | 16.5 | 3.0 | 3.8 |
| Naz Reid | 25.9 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.4 |
| Bones Hyland | 24.5 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ousmane Dieng | 31.5 | 13.9 | 5.3 | 4.9 |
| Ryan Rollins | 30.4 | 21.3 | 4.2 | 5.4 |
| AJ Green | 29.5 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Pete Nance | 27.5 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 2.1 |
| Taurean Prince | 27.0 | 12.1 | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| Jericho Sims | 26.4 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 3.1 |
| Bobby Portis | 25.7 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 2.0 |
| Cormac Ryan | 24.5 | 14.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
From play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
50% of MIN's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
49% of MIL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | MIN+19 | +19 | ||
| Jan 13, 2026 | MIN+33 | +33 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | MIN+3 | +3 | ||
| Apr 8, 2025 | MIL+7 | +7 | ||
| Feb 12, 2025 | MIL+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | MIL+5 | +5 | ||
| Feb 8, 2024 | MIN+24 | +24 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.