Probetrics · Nov 5–16 · 14 games

NFL matchup cheat sheet

Where each NFL defense gives up the most, and who plays against it.

The first game is open. Pro opens all 14.

Every defense's softest stats, the players with a line against each, by game or by player, and a saved image of every game.

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Where each defense has given up the most this season, and the players with a line against it. A rank describes the past, not a prediction.

This week's softest spots

Softest defensePro · Start 7-day free trial Softest vs the runPro · Start 7-day free trial Softest vs WRPro · Start 7-day free trial Furthest above the leaguePro · Start 7-day free trial

14 games#1 toughest#32 gives up most

Thu, Nov 12 · Night

WSH @ NYGWashington Commanders @ New York Giants

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Thu 8:15 PM · NYG -2.5 · Total 41

Out WSH: Yankoff, Burks · NYG: Skattebo

Where the Washington Commanders are softesta game · vs average · rank

Neutral-script pass rate faced60.8%+12%#32
TDs allowed to TE1.00 a game+103%#31
Red-zone TDs allowed2.63 a game+38%#31
Completions allowed to QB24.1 a game+14%#31
ADOT allowed to RB1.30#30

NYG props against themHit rateThis seasonBest priceRank

Where the New York Giants are softesta game · vs average · rank

TDs allowed to QB0.38 a game+112%#32
Rushing yards allowed to QB29.5 a game+88%#31
Red-zone touches allowed to WR3.13 a game+38%#31
Explosive run rate allowed10.8%+17%#26
Targets allowed to TE8.13 a game+7%#24

WSH props against themHit rateThis seasonBest priceRank

Sun, Nov 15 · Early games

NE @ DETNew England Patriots @ Detroit Lions

Sun 9:30 AM · DET -3 · Total 51

Out NE: Henderson

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Where each defense gives up the most in this game, and the players with a line against it

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KC @ ATLKansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons

Sun 1:00 PM · KC -3.5 · Total 45

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Where each defense gives up the most in this game, and the players with a line against it

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HOU @ CLEHouston Texans @ Cleveland Browns

Sun 1:00 PM · HOU -4.5 · Total 40.5

Out HOU: Stover · CLE: Watson

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Where each defense gives up the most in this game, and the players with a line against it

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MIN @ GBMinnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers

Sun 1:00 PM · GB -3.5 · Total 41.5

Out GB: Jacobs, Lloyd

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Where each defense gives up the most in this game, and the players with a line against it

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JAX @ TENJacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans

Sun 1:00 PM · JAX -10.5 · Total 46.5

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Where each defense gives up the most in this game, and the players with a line against it

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MIA @ INDMiami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts

Sun 1:00 PM · IND -3.5 · Total 38

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Where each defense gives up the most in this game, and the players with a line against it

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CAR @ NOCarolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints

Sun 1:00 PM · NO -2.5 · Total 48.5

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Where each defense gives up the most in this game, and the players with a line against it

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BUF @ NYJBuffalo Bills @ New York Jets

Sun 1:00 PM · BUF -7.5 · Total 51

Out BUF: Shavers

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Where each defense gives up the most in this game, and the players with a line against it

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Sun, Nov 15 · Afternoon

SEA @ LVSeattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders

Sun 4:05 PM · SEA -6.5 · Total 40.5

Out SEA: Darnold · LV: O'Connell

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Where each defense gives up the most in this game, and the players with a line against it

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LAR @ ARILos Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals

Sun 4:05 PM · LAR -9.5 · Total 39.5

Out LAR: Nacua

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Where each defense gives up the most in this game, and the players with a line against it

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SF @ DALSan Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys

Sun 4:25 PM · SF -4 · Total 55.5

Out SF: Aiyuk · DAL: Ferguson, Goodson

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Where each defense gives up the most in this game, and the players with a line against it

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Sun, Nov 15 · Night

PIT @ CINPittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals

Sun 8:20 PM · CIN -3.5 · Total 49.5

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Where each defense gives up the most in this game, and the players with a line against it

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Mon, Nov 16 · Night

LAC @ BALLos Angeles Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens

Mon 8:15 PM · BAL -4.5 · Total 38.5

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Where each defense gives up the most in this game, and the players with a line against it

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Already played · 15 games

See the history behind any line

Lines and every player's last ten games against them, on the week's board.

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Questions and answers

Where do the ranks come from?

Every defense is ranked against the league on what it has allowed this season, by position where a stat belongs to a position and for the whole defense where it does not. Six games are needed. The highest number is the softest spot, #32 in a 32-team league, and #1 is the toughest. Each card lists up to 5 stats where the defense sits in the softer half.

Why these players?

Players on the offense across from that defense with a posted prop, by where the defense ranks in that prop's own stat. One per position first, up to four, only where the defense is in the softer half, and only at a regular's line. Nobody listed out is included.

If a defense ranks last, will a player go over?

No. A rank says where a defense sits, not what a player will do, and the books already price the matchup. Our tests of matchup grades found they describe a game and do not beat the closing line.

How often does this change?

With the props board: as lines are posted and games finish. A football sheet covers the week and a basketball or hockey sheet the next game day.

Ranks come from box scores and play-by-play: what each defense has allowed this season, against the league. A player's hit rate and the gap against the books' price are on his card and are part of Pro. History, not a pick. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.