Field and weatherKickoff conditions and this stadium's scoring vs the league (100 = average; rank 1 = most). History, not a forecast.
Delaware Stadium · Newark
MTSU end zone ← 100 yards → DEL end zone
56°F
Forecast at kickoff
Wind
7 mph
Light
Precip
—
chance
Roof
Open air
Mild outdoors games: 53.7 points on average · 2,723 games since 2023
Matchup statsHow the two teams play: each offense against the defense it faces, the three widest gaps marked, every measure ranked (1 = best).
advanced stats (garbage time excluded) and play-by-play · 2025 season only
Offense vs defenseEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces; longer bar = better rank, filled = the side ranking better. The three widest gaps are marked.
2025 season · ranks of 135
ranks betterranks worseStronger27+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 135 (#1 = best)
MTSU offensevsDEL defense
MTSU offense ranks better in 3 of 6 matchups · DEL defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Passing · points added per playPoints added per pass play; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.12
#92slight
+0.25
#98
Rushing · points added per playPoints added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.
−0.02
#114slight
+0.16
#118
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
37%
#93
40%
slight#77
Finishing drives · points per opportunityPoints per drive reaching the opponent's 40; the defense's is what it allows.
3.20
#116
4.04
slight#108
Havoc · faced vs createdTackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups per play: faced by the offense, created by the defense.Widest gap · 50 places
18.0%
#115
15.8%
Stronger#65
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
1.00
#33slight
1.46
#44
DEL offensevsMTSU defense
DEL offense ranks better in 3 of 6 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MTSU defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Passing · points added per playPoints added per pass play; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 75 places
+0.23
#50Stronger
+0.36
#125
Rushing · points added per playPoints added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 75 places
−0.01
#109
+0.00
Stronger#34
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
42%
#48slight
39%
#65
Finishing drives · points per opportunityPoints per drive reaching the opponent's 40; the defense's is what it allows.
3.52
#89slight
4.03
#105
Havoc · faced vs createdTackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups per play: faced by the offense, created by the defense.
15.4%
#68
15.7%
slight#67
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
1.46
#95
1.17
slight#83
Every measure, ranked
29 measures per pairing+
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 135 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
MTSU offenseDEL defense
Points added / passExpected points added per pass play.
+0.12#92▲
+0.25#98
Pass success ratefavors MTSU
42%#62
45%#115
Pass explosivenessAverage points added on successful pass plays: how big the wins are.favors DEL
1.43#115
1.55#61
Yards / pass attempt
6.4#113
7.5#89
Explosive pass rateDropbacks gaining 20+ yards. All plays.
8.7%#106▲
10.7%#89
Sack rate / Sack rate generatedSacks per dropback. Lower is better for an offense; the defense column shows sacks they create.favors DEL
Points in the 1st half:MTSU scores 49% · allows 50%DEL scores 53% · allows 53%league 52%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 5 in 2026, 12 in 2025
MTSUDELsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 15.1 scored
League 38% pass
MTSU2 games · small sample
Scored17.0
Allowed12.0
Pass share53%
47 plays · too few games for a range
DEL7 games
Scored15.0
Allowed12.1
Pass share56%
52–61% · 224 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 13.2 scored
League 46% pass
MTSU7 games
Scored12.4
Allowed12.6
Pass share63%
55–71% · 201 plays
DEL4 games
Scored11.3
Allowed13.5
Pass share66%
57–74% · 116 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.2 scored
League 52% pass
MTSU8 games
Scored8.8
Allowed17.8
Pass share66%
60–71% · 290 plays
DEL6 games
Scored10.2
Allowed17.2
Pass share65%
59–72% · 206 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (a sack counts as a carry, as college stats score it; a few plays whose names could not be matched are missing). The range counts games, not plays. League = every tracked college team's last 17 games (138 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 5 in 2026, 12 in 2025
MTSUat the half: led 2 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 8 (of 17)
5.0
6.3Q1
5.7
8.8Q2
10.7scored15.1allowedleague 14.6
1st half
4.9
5.4Q3
5.9
9.5Q4
DELat the half: led 7 · within 3 in 4 · trailed 6 (of 17)
3.8
6.8Q1
10.2
9.2Q2
14.0scored16.0allowedleague 14.6
1st half
4.9
9.1Q3
7.2
4.9Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 6.1 · Q2 8.5 · Q3 6.0 · Q4 7.0
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
MTSUDEL
3-9
Record
7-6
22.4
Points for / game
29.0
30.9
Points against / game
31.0
1-5 / 2-4
Home / road
6-1 / 1-5
W W L L L
Last 5
W W L L W
2025 season only (not a rolling window) · 12–13 games each.
AdvancedEfficiency and talent measures for both teams; green marks the better side.◷History
MTSUDEL
−16.0
Team rating (this season)Points better (+) or worse (−) than an average team.
−10.9
0.061
Offense points added / playPoints the offense adds per play, garbage time excluded.
0.132
0.167
Defense points added / playPoints added per play the defense allows; lower is better.
0.181
43% / 45%
Success rate (off / def)
44% / 42%
1.22 / 1.26
Explosiveness (off / def)
1.25 / 1.42
521
Talent compositeRoster talent rating from recruiting; higher = more talent.
243
51%
Returning production
—
2025 season to date, garbage time excluded.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
MTSUDEL
3-15 · 17%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
4-3 · 57%
Last two seasons (2024–2025), MTSU 24 games, DEL 13. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2023Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
0MTSUseriesDEL1
Avg total points
59.0
Meetings
1
They meet only some seasons (1 of the 4 in our history).
2025MTSU 28 at DEL 31DEL
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
