The Dream beat the Liberty 92–82 at home on Oct 4, 2026.
Closing line· 3 books· best NY +164 FanDuel · ATL -190 BetMGM
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 16 | 15 | 27 | 82 | |
| 21 | 16 | 32 | 23 | 92 |
| NY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 40 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| Leonie Fiebich | 36 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 34 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 10-20 | 3-8 |
| Jonquel Jones | 32 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Pauline Astier | 21 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Marine Fauthoux | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Marine Johannes | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Han Xu | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Rebekah Gardner | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Rebecca Allen | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Totals | 82 | 34 | 17 | 28-65 | 11-28 |
| ATL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard | 40 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 5-20 | 1-8 |
| Naz Hillmon | 37 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Angel Reese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-1 |
| Jordin Canada | 32 | 25 | 1 | 4 | 9-14 | 4-6 |
| Allisha Gray | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| DeWanna Bonner | 30 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 10-18 | 3-6 |
| Isobel Borlase | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Madina Okot | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Totals | 92 | 34 | 20 | 32-71 | 10-26 |
Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.
This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).
| Team | Made | FG% | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 28-65 | 43% | 11-28 39% |
| ATL | 32-71 | 45% | 9-24 38% |
From charted shot locations; free throws have none. Both teams are drawn at one basket. Made and FG% follow the shot type chosen above; 3PT is always the threes. Descriptive history of this game.
NY offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · ATL defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
ATL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NY defense in 1 · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 15 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 83 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 15 teams, 1st = best.
Crew chiefRoy Gulbeyan · also working Ashley Gloss, Angel Kent
Counts per game across his last 40 games next to the league's over the same dates (bar: 90% range, dot: his average, line: the league's). History, not a forecast.
Closing lines at DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM · last 10 this season
Breanna Stewart's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 31.6 | 19.4 | 7.9 | 3.6 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 28.5 | 13.4 | 3.6 | 5.3 |
| Leonie Fiebich | 27.9 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 2.6 |
| Jonquel Jones | 26.0 | 14.9 | 9.2 | 2.3 |
| Pauline Astier | 22.3 | 8.3 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Rebecca Allen | 20.9 | 7.9 | 3.5 | 0.7 |
| Marine Johannes | 16.1 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Han Xu | 15.2 | 8.1 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard | 33.5 | 19.1 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Allisha Gray | 32.1 | 19.5 | 4.3 | 3.4 |
| Angel Reese | 31.8 | 17.0 | 12.8 | 3.5 |
| Jordin Canada | 30.4 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 6.4 |
| Naz Hillmon | 27.6 | 8.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 |
| DeWanna Bonner | 20.8 | 8.6 | 5.4 | 1.8 |
| Brionna Jones | 16.8 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| Isobel Borlase | 13.8 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Rank among 15 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2026 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
From play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
49% of NY's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
47% of ATL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | ATL+10 | +10 | ||
| Sep 23, 2026 | ATL+18 | +18 | ||
| Sep 21, 2026 | ATL+11 | +11 | ||
| Jun 11, 2026 | NY+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | ATL+16 | +16 | ||
| Jul 13, 2025 | NY+7 | +7 | ||
| Jun 29, 2025 | ATL+9 | +9 | ||
| Jun 17, 2025 | NY+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2024 | NY+9 | +9 | ||
| Sep 22, 2024 | NY+14 | +14 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.