Player props
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Averages over the games shown; the small number is the difference from the season average.
Closing lines fill in game by game from our first props pull (Sep 23, 2026); none of these games has one yet.
Shot types vs NY
2026, 43 games
| Type | Points | FGA | FG% | NY allows |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spot-up jumpers | 3.7 (22%) | 4.0 | 30% | 18.4 #6 |
| Transition | 3.5 (20%) | 2.7 | 58% | 10.6 #10 |
| Pull-ups & step-backs | 3.3 (20%) | 4.1 | 32% | 11.9 #1 |
| Free throws | 3.0 (18%) | — | — | 13.8 #15 |
| Drives & floaters | 2.2 (13%) | 2.3 | 48% | 14.2 #9 |
| Putbacks | 0.6 (3%) | 0.5 | 43% | 5.5 #8 |
| Cuts & lobs | 0.4 (2%) | 0.2 | 89% | 5.6 #9 |
| Post-ups & turnarounds | 0.2 (1%) | 0.4 | 29% | 2.5 #14 |
| Other at the rim | 0.0 (0%) | 0.0 | 100% | 3.0 #5 |
NY allows = points a game its opponents score that way; rank 1 = allows the most. Transition = first shot within 7s of a stop or score; putback = within 3s of an own offensive rebound; the rest by ESPN's shot label.
Shooting zones
Rhyne Howard · 1157 attempts, last two seasons
Where they shoot from and how often it goes in, by zone. From ESPN's charted shot locations. Descriptive history, not a forecast.
Similar players vs NY
Similarity from 2026 box scores
| Date | Player | Vs | Result | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | DeWanna Bonner ATL | 10.4 avg | 9 | -14% |
| Sep 23 | Allisha Gray ATL | 18.9 avg | 24 | +27% |
| Sep 21 | Allisha Gray ATL | 19.0 avg | 14 | -26% |
| Sep 21 | DeWanna Bonner ATL | 10.3 avg | 17 | +66% |
| Sep 18 | Kayla McBride MIN | 18.1 avg | 16 | -11% |
| Aug 27 | Veronica Burton GS | 12.5 avg | 8 | -36% |
| Aug 27 | Gabby Williams GS | 14.3 avg | 16 | +12% |
| Aug 15 | Kennedy Burke CON | 8.3 avg | 7 | -16% |
| Aug 13 | Ariel Atkins LA | 9.2 avg | 3 | -68% |
| Aug 5 | Flau'jae Johnson SEA | 14.0 avg | 11 | -21% |
Compared with: Bridget Carleton, Kayla McBride, Gabby Williams, Azzi Fudd, Allisha Gray, Ariel Atkins, Kennedy Burke, Flau'jae Johnson, DeWanna Bonner, Veronica Burton, Arike Ogunbowale, Sonia Citron.
Players whose minutes and per-36 scoring, rebounding, playmaking, three-point and free-throw volume, steals, blocks and turnovers are closest to this player's. Each game is measured against its closing line (CLOSE) where we have one, otherwise against that player's own average in the same season before that game (AVG). Other players' history, not a projection for this one.
At a glance
| ATL | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-14 | Record | 27-18 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| +8.2#3 | Net rating | +3.9#7 |
| 108.6#5 | Offense | 108.2#6 |
| 100.4#2 | Defense | 104.3#7 |
| 84.1#5 | Pace | 82.9#8 |
| 50.5#8 | eFG% | 53.6#4 |
| 53.1#11 | Opp eFG% | 51.0#8 |
| 14.0#4 | Turnover % | 16.1#12 |
| 30.1#2 | Off. rebound % | 25.9#6 |
Per 100 possessions; rank 1 = best (for Defense and Opp eFG%, the lowest).
The shape of the matchup
Each axis is a percentile among 15 teams on that measure (1 = best), offense on the left half of the wheel, defense on the right. Bigger is better.
Ratings · 2026
The four factors
League rank among 15 teams (1 = best; a defense ranks well for allowing less shooting, more turnovers forced, fewer offensive rebounds and fewer free throws).
Shot types
2026 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league
ATL offense vs NY defense
| Type | ATL scores | NY allows |
|---|---|---|
| Spot-up jumpers | 16.8 #12 | 18.4 #6 |
| Free throws | 19.2 #1 | 13.8 #15 |
| Drives & floaters | 16.1 #2 | 14.2 #9 |
| Transition | 14.2 #1 | 10.6 #10 |
| Pull-ups & step-backs | 6.3 #14 | 11.9 #1 |
| Cuts & lobs | 6.2 #5 | 5.6 #9 |
| Putbacks | 6.2 #3 | 5.5 #8 |
| Post-ups & turnarounds | 1.9 #15 | 2.5 #14 |
| Other at the rimmatch | 3.2 #4 | 3.0 #5 |
NY offense vs ATL defense
| Type | NY scores | ATL allows |
|---|---|---|
| Spot-up jumpers | 19.5 #3 | 15.5 #14 |
| Free throws | 17.6 #5 | 15.8 #7 |
| Drives & floatersmatch | 15.7 #3 | 15.5 #3 |
| Transition | 10.3 #11 | 8.5 #15 |
| Pull-ups & step-backs | 8.6 #10 | 11.8 #2 |
| Cuts & lobs | 4.8 #9 | 5.9 #5 |
| Putbacks | 5.5 #6 | 4.3 #14 |
| Post-ups & turnaroundsmatch | 4.4 #2 | 3.8 #2 |
| Other at the rim | 2.3 #11 | 2.8 #7 |
From ESPN play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by ESPN's shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
Scoring by quarter and half
per game, last 17 games| ATL | NY | Avg team | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | ||
| Q1 | 24.1 | 20.2 | 24.4 | 20.9 | 22.2 |
| Q2 | 22.1 | 19.8 | 19.6 | 22.5 | 21.4 |
| Q3 | 24.9 | 22.0 | 23.4 | 21.2 | 21.8 |
| Q4 | 23.2 | 20.6 | 23.8 | 22.2 | 21.7 |
| 1st half | 46.2 | 40.1 | 44.1 | 43.4 | 43.6 |
| 2nd half | 48.7 | 43.4 | 47.2 | 43.4 | 43.7 |
| Game | 94.9 | 83.5 | 91.2 | 86.8 | 87.3 |
| Points in the 1st half | 49% | 48% | 48% | 50% | 50% |
Average points per game in each period, from ESPN box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ATL rotation · last 15 games
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard | 33.4 | 19.9 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| Angel Reese | 32.5 | 18.1 | 13.5 | 3.4 |
| Allisha Gray | 31.9 | 18.3 | 4.1 | 3.2 |
| Jordin Canada | 30.7 | 12.2 | 3.2 | 6.6 |
| Naz Hillmon | 27.2 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| DeWanna Bonner | 19.5 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 1.8 |
| Brionna Jones | 16.8 | 7.4 | 4.4 | 2.4 |
| Isobel Borlase | 13.6 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
NY rotation · last 15 games
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 31.9 | 19.9 | 8.1 | 3.5 |
| Leonie Fiebich | 29.8 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 3.0 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 28.9 | 14.0 | 3.6 | 5.6 |
| Jonquel Jones | 26.5 | 14.7 | 8.7 | 2.5 |
| Pauline Astier | 22.7 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 3.0 |
| Rebecca Allen | 21.2 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 0.7 |
| Marine Johannes | 15.6 | 6.9 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Han Xu | 14.9 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 0.7 |
ATL · last 10
30-14 · 1 day rest- Sep 21 @ NYW 95–84
- Sep 19 vs CHIW 106–81
- Sep 17 vs CONW 103–59
- Aug 30 vs MINW 89–81
- Aug 28 vs PORL 83–101
- Aug 24 @ LAW 78–71
- Aug 22 @ PHXW 99–89
- Aug 20 @ LAW 124–88
- Aug 18 @ LVW 97–82
- Aug 16 vs INDL 91–95
NY · last 10
27-18 · 1 day rest- Sep 21 vs ATLL 84–95
- Sep 20 @ TORW 106–69
- Sep 18 @ MINW 93–81
- Aug 29 vs CHIW 85–66
- Aug 27 vs GSL 60–79
- Aug 22 vs INDW 109–102
- Aug 18 @ CHIL 86–93
- Aug 15 @ CONW 82–75
- Aug 13 vs LAW 85–81
- Aug 11 @ INDL 92–106
Recent meetings
- Sep 23, 2026
ATL 83at
NY 65 - Sep 21, 2026ATL 95atNY 84
- Jun 11, 2026NY 104atATL 90
- Aug 23, 2025NY 62atATL 78
- Jul 13, 2025ATL 72atNY 79
- Jun 29, 2025NY 81atATL 90
- Jun 17, 2025ATL 81atNY 86
- Sep 24, 2024ATL 82atNY 91
- Sep 22, 2024ATL 69atNY 83
- Sep 19, 2024ATL 78atNY 67
Finished meetings between these two teams in the data we have. Descriptive history, not a forecast of tonight.
From ESPN box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM via TheRundown; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.