Median sportsbook implied win probability (vig included) at each odds snapshot since we started tracking this fight. A rising line = money and respect moving toward that fighter.
Output & grappling
per-fight rates over last 12 tracked bouts
IlStatGomes
4.5
Sig. str / min
—
39%
Strike acc.
—
4.7
Absorbed / min
—
-0.2
Damage margin
—
60%
Strike defense
—
0.19
Knockdowns /15
—
0.9
Takedowns /15
—
—
TD accuracy
—
67%
TD defense
—
0.1
Ground adv. /15
—
0.2
Sub att. /15
—
Il — pace & finishing
Avg fight length 7.4 min over 13 tracked
Round-1 finish wins 2 · finish wins 7
Went the distance 15% of tracked fights
Gomes — pace & finishing
Avg fight length 10.3 min over 11 tracked
Round-1 finish wins 1 · finish wins 5
Went the distance 36% of tracked fights
Il — strike targetshead 70% · body 26% · leg 4%
Gomes — strike targetshead — · body — · leg —
Stylistic read
▸Gomes is 5 years younger — age gaps this size historically matter.
▸Stance clash: Il (Orthodox) vs Gomes (Switch) — expect open-stance exchanges.
Head to head Il 0 – 1 Gomes
2026-09-08GomesDecision - Unanimous · R3
Kwon Won Il — last fights
L2026-09-08vs Apollo Gomes · Decision - Unanimous · R3
L2025-10-15vs Juan Diaz · KO/TKO · R2
L2025-01-24KO/TKO · R1
W2024-01-13KO/TKO · R2
W2023-06-10KO/TKO · R2
Apollo Gomes — last fights
W2026-09-08vs Kwon Won Il · Decision - Unanimous · R3
W2026-03-28Decision - Split · R3
W2025-05-18Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · R2
W2025-02-12KO/TKO · R3
L2024-07-06Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · R2
Line shop
ML
Fight odds refresh hourly on fight days — none yet for this bout.
