Malott vs Buckley
Mike Malott beat Joaquin Buckley by KO/TKO in round 2 at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott on Oct 17, 2026.
Rounds 3.5 · over +100 · under −105
5 US books
How it endsThe books' no-vig prices for every way the fight can end. The books price the round and the method separately (never a method inside a given round). Each number is the median chance across books with their margin removed; the price beside it is the best at a US sportsbook. The chance it is still going after a round is read off the round prices.Market
The books gave Malott 55% to win; it went the distance 37% of the time, and the likeliest single ending was Malott by decision (23.6%).
Outlined: the likeliest single ending. Still going: the chance it has not ended by the end of that round. Rounds line, no vig: over 3.5 rounds 51%. Tap a cell for its price.
How their last fights endedEach fighter's tracked fights before this one, oldest to newest.History
9-1 in the last 10. 7 of 9 wins inside the distance; the loss was a finish.
- WKO/TKO · R3vs Gilbert BurnsApr 2026
- WDecisionvs Kevin HollandOct 2025
- WKO/TKO · R2vs Charles RadtkeMay 2025
- WDecisionUFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. AlbaziNov 2024
- LKO/TKO · R3vs Neil MagnyJan 2024
6-4 in the last 10. 4 of 6 wins inside the distance; 1 of 4 losses were finishes.
- LDecisionvs Sean BradyMay 2026
- LDecisionvs Kamaru UsmanJun 2025
- WKO/TKO · R3UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. BuckleyDec 2024
- WKO/TKO · R3vs Stephen ThompsonOct 2024
- WDecisionvs Nursulton RuziboevMay 2024
Most of these were 3-round fights; this one is scheduled for 5.
Fight statsEach fighter's own numbers from this bout. A longer bar is a bigger number; volt marks the higher one.History
The strike and takedown numbers for this bout have not been stored yet; they usually arrive within a day of the result.
Rates against the divisionEach fighter's striking and grappling rates from his box-scored fights; the tick on each bar is the division average and a full bar is the division's top 5%. Hover a row for what it measures. A rate with no box scores behind it reads no data, never a zero.History
- 4.0Strikes landed / min3.54.0Strikes landed / min3.5
- 3.0Strikes absorbed / minlower is better3.03.0Strikes absorbed / minlower is better3.0
- 52%Striking accuracy36%52%Striking accuracy36%
- 57%Striking defense61%57%Striking defense61%
- 0.87Knockdowns / 15 min0.450.87Knockdowns / 15 min0.45
- 1.5Takedowns / 15 min1.61.5Takedowns / 15 min1.6
- 57%Takedown accuracy57%57%Takedown accuracy57%
- 73%Takedown defense70%73%Takedown defense70%
- 0.7Sub. attempts / 15 min0.10.7Sub. attempts / 15 min0.1
- 0.04Ground advances / 15 min0.020.04Ground advances / 15 min0.02
Tick: Welterweight average (102 fighters with 3+ tracked fights). Bars start at zero; a full bar is the division's top 5%. The better number of each row is bold.
Strike targets and paceStrike targets are the share of significant strikes to the head, body and legs. Pace is how long his tracked fights lasted and how often he finished early inside the first round.History
Mike Malott
Form: 4-1 in his last 5 · on W4. Since his last fight: 6 mo.
- Wvs Gilbert BurnsApr 19, 2026KO/TKO · R3 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malottsig. str. 56/121 · abs. 40 · TD 0 · KD 2 · sub 0
- Wvs Kevin HollandOct 18, 2025Decision - Unanimous · R3 · UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allensig. str. 49/95 · abs. 52 · TD 1/4 · KD 0 · sub 1
- Wvs Charles RadtkeMay 11, 2025KO/TKO · R2 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenasig. str. 36/61 · abs. 10 · TD 0 · KD 1 · sub 0
- WUFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. AlbaziNov 3, 2024Decision - Unanimous · R3sig. str. 59/130 · abs. 34 · TD 0/1 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Lvs Neil MagnyJan 21, 2024KO/TKO · R3 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessissig. str. 45/67 · abs. 57 · TD 4/6 · KD 0 · sub 0
Joaquin Buckley
Form: 3-2 in his last 5 · on L2. Since his last fight: 5 mo.
- Lvs Sean BradyMay 10, 2026Decision - Unanimous · R3 · UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Stricklandsig. str. 5/31 · abs. 77 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Lvs Kamaru UsmanJun 15, 2025Decision - Unanimous · R5 · UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckleysig. str. 44/148 · abs. 41 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- WUFC Fight Night: Covington vs. BuckleyDec 15, 2024TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R3sig. str. 75/151 · abs. 37 · TD 0/1 · KD 0 · sub 1
- Wvs Stephen ThompsonOct 6, 2024KO/TKO · R3 · UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.sig. str. 34/93 · abs. 49 · TD 4/7 · KD 1 · sub 0
- Wvs Nursulton RuziboevMay 11, 2024Decision - Unanimous · R3 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimentosig. str. 86/156 · abs. 31 · TD 4/4 · KD 1 · sub 0
Malott: full history · 11 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | vs Gilbert BurnsUFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott | WKO/TKO · R3 | 56/121 | 40 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | vs Kevin HollandUFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 49/95 | 52 | 1/4 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025-05-11 | vs Charles RadtkeUFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena | WKO/TKO · R2 | 36/61 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2024-11-03 | UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 59/130 | 34 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-01-21 | vs Neil MagnyUFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis | LKO/TKO · R3 | 45/67 | 57 | 4/6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-06-11 | vs Adam FugittUFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana | WSubmission · R2 | 19/41 | 9 | 2/2 | 1 | 1 |
| 2023-02-26 | UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen | WSubmission · R1 | 9/17 | 1 | 1/1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2022-04-10 | vs Mickey GallUFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie | WKO/TKO · R1 | 28/44 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2021-10-06 | Dana White's Contender Series: Season 5, Week 6 | WSubmission · R1 | 1/6 | — | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2020-12-18 | Cage Fury Fighting Championships 91 | WSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · R1 | no stats | ||||
| 2017-02-03 | XFFC 13: Future Stars | WKO/TKO · R1 | no stats | ||||
Buckley: full history · 12 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | vs Sean BradyUFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 5/31 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-06-15 | vs Kamaru UsmanUFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley | LDecision - Unanimous · R5 | 44/148 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-12-15 | UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley | WTKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R3 | 75/151 | 37 | 0/1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024-10-06 | vs Stephen ThompsonUFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. | WKO/TKO · R3 | 34/93 | 49 | 4/7 | 1 | 0 |
| 2024-05-11 | vs Nursulton RuziboevUFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 86/156 | 31 | 4/4 | 1 | 0 |
| 2024-03-31 | vs Vicente LuqueUFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot | WKO/TKO · R2 | 55/131 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-10-07 | vs Alex MoronoUFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 68/176 | 40 | 2/4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-05-20 | UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill | WKO/TKO · R2 | 26/89 | — | 2/3 | 1 | 0 |
| 2022-12-11 | vs Chris CurtisUFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev | LKO/TKO · R2 | 50/163 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-09-03 | vs Nassourdine ImavovUFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 46/174 | 51 | 0/3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-06-18 | UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett | WTKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R2 | 27/105 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2022-02-20 | vs Abdul Razak AlhassanUFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill | WDecision - Split · R3 | 51/153 | 46 | 5/8 | 0 | 0 |
Line shop (closing prices)Each US sportsbook's moneyline and rounds line; bold = the best price on that side.
| Book | Buckley | Malott | Rounds | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | +115 Caesars | −130 Hard Rock | 3.5 | +100 | −105 |
| BetMGM | +110 | −135 | — | — | — |
| DraftKings | +114 | −135 | 3.5 | +100 | −130 |
| FanDuel | +112 | −132 | 3.5 | −104 | −118 |
| Hard Rock | +105 | −130 | 3.5 | −125 | −105 |
| Caesars | +115 | −135 | — | — | — |
Line movementEach fighter's no-vig win chance from the median book, every hour since lines opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Fighter numbers are from tracked fights. Prices are the best at US sportsbooks and win chances take the margin out: the books' view, not a forecast. Descriptive data. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.