Daukaus vs Barriault
Marc-Andre Barriault beat Kyle Daukaus by KO/TKO in round 1 at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott on Oct 17, 2026.
Rounds 2.5 · over +135 · under −175
5 US books
How it endsThe books' no-vig prices for every way the fight can end. The books price the round and the method separately (never a method inside a given round). Each number is the median chance across books with their margin removed; the price beside it is the best at a US sportsbook. The chance it is still going after a round is read off the round prices.Market
The books gave Daukaus 64% to win; it went the distance 32% of the time, and the likeliest single ending was Daukaus in round 1 (22.7%).
Outlined: the likeliest single ending. Still going: the chance it has not ended by the end of that round. Rounds line, no vig: over 1.5 rounds 56%, over 2.5 rounds 39%. Tap a cell for its price.
How their last fights endedEach fighter's tracked fights before this one, oldest to newest.History
7-3 in the last 10. 6 of 7 wins inside the distance; 3 of 3 losses were finishes.
- LKO/TKO · R1vs Bo NickalJun 2026
- WSubmission · R1vs Gerald MeerschaertNov 2025
- WKO/TKO · R1vs Michel PereiraAug 2025
- WKO/TKO · R1CFFC 132: Daukaus vs. PatershukJun 2024
- WSubmission · R3CFFC 129: Kline vs. RomeroFeb 2024
4-6 in the last 10. 3 of 4 wins inside the distance; 3 of 6 losses were finishes.
- LDecisionvs Michal OleksiejczukFeb 2026
- LDecisionvs Shara MagomedovJul 2025
- WKO/TKO · R1vs Bruno SilvaMay 2025
- LKO/TKO · R1vs Dustin StoltzfusNov 2024
- LKO/TKO · R1vs Joe PyferJun 2024
Fight statsEach fighter's own numbers from this bout. A longer bar is a bigger number; volt marks the higher one.History
The strike and takedown numbers for this bout have not been stored yet; they usually arrive within a day of the result.
Rates against the divisionEach fighter's striking and grappling rates from his box-scored fights; the tick on each bar is the division average and a full bar is the division's top 5%. Hover a row for what it measures. A rate with no box scores behind it reads no data, never a zero.History
- 3.0Strikes landed / min5.63.0Strikes landed / min5.6
- 3.9Strikes absorbed / minlower is better6.43.9Strikes absorbed / minlower is better6.4
- 45%Striking accuracy46%45%Striking accuracy46%
- 42%Striking defense46%42%Striking defense46%
- 0.65Knockdowns / 15 min0.290.65Knockdowns / 15 min0.29
- 1.5Takedowns / 15 min0.41.5Takedowns / 15 min0.4
- 15%Takedown accuracy33%15%Takedown accuracy33%
- 43%Takedown defense67%43%Takedown defense67%
- 1.8Sub. attempts / 15 min0.21.8Sub. attempts / 15 min0.2
- 0.06Ground advances / 15 min0.030.06Ground advances / 15 min0.03
Tick: Middleweight average (110 fighters with 3+ tracked fights). Bars start at zero; a full bar is the division's top 5%. The better number of each row is bold.
Strike targets and paceStrike targets are the share of significant strikes to the head, body and legs. Pace is how long his tracked fights lasted and how often he finished early inside the first round.History
Kyle Daukaus
Form: 4-1 in his last 5 · on L1. Since his last fight: 4 mo.
- Lvs Bo NickalJun 15, 2026KO/TKO · R1 · UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethjesig. str. 2/7 · abs. 16 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Wvs Gerald MeerschaertNov 15, 2025Submission · R1 · UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachevsig. str. 8/11 · abs. 0 · TD 0 · KD 1 · sub 1
- Wvs Michel PereiraAug 23, 2025KO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangsig. str. 5/8 · abs. 2 · TD 0 · KD 1 · sub 0
- WCFFC 132: Daukaus vs. PatershukJun 14, 2024KO/TKO · R1no stats
- WCFFC 129: Kline vs. RomeroFeb 10, 2024Submission (D'Arce Choke) · R3no stats
Marc-Andre Barriault
Form: 1-4 in his last 5 · on L2. Since his last fight: 8 mo.
- Lvs Michal OleksiejczukFeb 8, 2026Decision - Unanimous · R3 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveirasig. str. 77/201 · abs. 140 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Lvs Shara MagomedovJul 26, 2025Decision - Unanimous · R3 · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Riddersig. str. 39/77 · abs. 93 · TD 2/6 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Wvs Bruno SilvaMay 10, 2025KO/TKO · R1 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenasig. str. 14/24 · abs. 6 · TD 0 · KD 1 · sub 0
- Lvs Dustin StoltzfusNov 3, 2024KO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazisig. str. 7/11 · abs. 13 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Lvs Joe PyferJun 30, 2024KO/TKO · R1 · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Procházka 2sig. str. 0/5 · abs. 8 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
Common opponentsOpponents both fighters have faced (latest meeting each). Check the dates.
Daukaus: full history · 11 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | vs Bo NickalUFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje | LKO/TKO · R1 | 2/7 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs Gerald MeerschaertUFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev | WSubmission · R1 | 8/11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025-08-23 | vs Michel PereiraUFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang | WKO/TKO · R1 | 5/8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2024-06-14 | CFFC 132: Daukaus vs. Patershuk | WKO/TKO · R1 | no stats | ||||
| 2024-02-10 | CFFC 129: Kline vs. Romero | WSubmission (D'Arce Choke) · R3 | no stats | ||||
| 2023-09-02 | CFFC 124: Ellis vs. Daukaus | WDecision - Unanimous · R4 | no stats | ||||
| 2023-06-17 | CFFC 120: Ndregjoni vs. Araujo | WSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · R1 | no stats | ||||
| 2022-12-04 | vs Eryk AndersUFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland | LKO/TKO · R2 | 37/79 | 49 | 0/8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-06-18 | vs Roman DolidzeUFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett | LKO/TKO · R1 | 4/9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-02-20 | UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill | WSubmission · R1 | 6/9 | 5 | 3/6 | 0 | 2 |
| 2021-05-09 | UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 28/82 | 66 | 0/7 | 0 | 0 |
Barriault: full history · 12 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | vs Michal OleksiejczukUFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 77/201 | 140 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-07-26 | vs Shara MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 39/77 | 93 | 2/6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-05-10 | vs Bruno SilvaUFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena | WKO/TKO · R1 | 14/24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2024-11-03 | vs Dustin StoltzfusUFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi | LKO/TKO · R1 | 7/11 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-06-30 | vs Joe PyferUFC 303: Pereira vs. Procházka 2 | LKO/TKO · R1 | 0/5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-01-21 | vs Chris CurtisUFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis | LDecision - Split · R3 | 122/243 | 140 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-06-11 | vs Eryk AndersUFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 95/192 | 83 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2023-03-05 | vs Julian MarquezUFC 285: Jones vs. Gane | WKO/TKO · R2 | 109/222 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-09-17 | vs Anthony HernandezUFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song | LSubmission · R3 | 25/53 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-04-24 | UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade | WSubmission · R1 | 13/17 | — | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2022-02-05 | vs Chidi NjokuaniUFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland | LKO/TKO · R1 | 2/2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-09-04 | UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 118/289 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Line shop (closing prices)Each US sportsbook's moneyline and rounds line; bold = the best price on that side.
| Book | Barriault | Daukaus | Rounds | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | +170 DraftKings | −200 BetMGM | 2.5 | +135 | −175 |
| BetMGM | +165 | −200 | — | — | — |
| DraftKings | +170 | −205 | 2.5 | +135 | −175 |
| FanDuel | +168 | −200 | 1.5 | −150 | +124 |
| Hard Rock | +165 | −210 | 1.5 | −135 | +105 |
| Caesars | +170 | −205 | — | — | — |
Line movementEach fighter's no-vig win chance from the median book, every hour since lines opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Fighter numbers are from tracked fights. Prices are the best at US sportsbooks and win chances take the margin out: the books' view, not a forecast. Descriptive data. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.