Jourdain vs Cuamba
Timmy Cuamba beat Louis Jourdain by submission in round 2 at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott on Oct 17, 2026.
Rounds 2.5 · over −132 · under +114
5 US books
How it endsThe books' no-vig prices for every way the fight can end. The books price the round and the method separately (never a method inside a given round). Each number is the median chance across books with their margin removed; the price beside it is the best at a US sportsbook. The chance it is still going after a round is read off the round prices.Market
The books gave Jourdain 59% to win; it went the distance 47% of the time, and the likeliest single ending was Jourdain by decision (27.0%).
Outlined: the likeliest single ending. Still going: the chance it has not ended by the end of that round. Rounds line, no vig: over 2.5 rounds 55%. Tap a cell for its price.
How their last fights endedEach fighter's tracked fights before this one, oldest to newest.History
7-3 in the last 10. 5 of 7 wins inside the distance; 2 of 3 losses were finishes.
- WSubmission · R3vs Magno DiasOct 2025
- WKO/TKO · R2Samourai MMA 14May 2025
- WKO/TKO · R1Samourai MMA 6May 2023
- WKO/TKO · R2Unified MMA 48Dec 2022
- LDecisionUAE Warriors 15Jan 2021
7-3 in the last 10. 4 of 7 wins inside the distance; 1 of 3 losses were finishes.
- LSubmission · R2vs Bernardo SopajMay 2026
- WDecisionvs ChangHo LeeNov 2025
- WKO/TKO · R2vs Roberto RomeroApr 2025
- LDecisionvs Lucas AlmeidaJun 2024
- LDecisionvs Bolaji OkiFeb 2024
Fight statsEach fighter's own numbers from this bout. A longer bar is a bigger number; volt marks the higher one.History
The strike and takedown numbers for this bout have not been stored yet; they usually arrive within a day of the result.
Rates against the divisionEach fighter's striking and grappling rates from his box-scored fights; the tick on each bar is the division average and a full bar is the division's top 5%. Hover a row for what it measures. A rate with no box scores behind it reads no data, never a zero.History
- 5.5Strikes landed / min3.15.5Strikes landed / min3.1
- 3.3Strikes absorbed / minlower is better3.63.3Strikes absorbed / minlower is better3.6
- 49%Striking accuracy43%49%Striking accuracy43%
- 54%Striking defense56%54%Striking defense56%
- 0.77Knockdowns / 15 min0.220.77Knockdowns / 15 min0.22
- 0.8Takedowns / 15 min1.20.8Takedowns / 15 min1.2
- no dataTakedown accuracy32%no dataTakedown accuracy32%
- 67%Takedown defense67%67%Takedown defense67%
- 0.8Sub. attempts / 15 min0.10.8Sub. attempts / 15 min0.1
- 0.13Ground advances / 15 min0.040.13Ground advances / 15 min0.04
Tick: Bantamweight average (103 fighters with 3+ tracked fights). Bars start at zero; a full bar is the division's top 5%. The better number of each row is bold. Grey rates are a small sample: under 30 tracked minutes behind them.
Strike targets and paceStrike targets are the share of significant strikes to the head, body and legs. Pace is how long his tracked fights lasted and how often he finished early inside the first round.History
Louis Jourdain
Form: 4-1 in his last 5 · on W4. Since his last fight: 13 mo.
- Wvs Magno DiasOct 1, 2025Submission · R3 · Dana White's Contender Series: Season 9, Week 8sig. str. 78/159 · abs. 26 · TD 0 · KD 1 · sub 1
- WSamourai MMA 14May 9, 2025KO/TKO · R2no stats
- WSamourai MMA 6May 26, 2023TKO (Doctor Stoppage) · R1no stats
- WUnified MMA 48Dec 16, 2022TKO (Corner Stoppage) · R2no stats
- LUAE Warriors 15Jan 15, 2021Decision - Unanimous · R3no stats
Timmy Cuamba
Form: 2-3 in his last 5 · on L1. Since his last fight: 5 mo.
- Lvs Bernardo SopajMay 17, 2026Submission · R2 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costasig. str. 29/80 · abs. 37 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Wvs ChangHo LeeNov 1, 2025Decision - Unanimous · R3 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onamasig. str. 23/32 · abs. 15 · TD 2/4 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Wvs Roberto RomeroApr 26, 2025KO/TKO · R2 · UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Pratessig. str. 33/64 · abs. 35 · TD 1/4 · KD 1 · sub 0
- Lvs Lucas AlmeidaJun 16, 2024Decision - Unanimous · R3 · UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Tairasig. str. 59/116 · abs. 70 · TD 2/5 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Lvs Bolaji OkiFeb 10, 2024Decision - Split · R3 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfersig. str. 33/94 · abs. 60 · TD 1/6 · KD 0 · sub 0
Jourdain: full history · 12 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | vs Magno DiasDana White's Contender Series: Season 9, Week 8 | WSubmission · R3 | 78/159 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025-05-09 | Samourai MMA 14 | WKO/TKO · R2 | no stats | ||||
| 2023-05-26 | Samourai MMA 6 | WTKO (Doctor Stoppage) · R1 | no stats | ||||
| 2022-12-16 | Unified MMA 48 | WTKO (Corner Stoppage) · R2 | no stats | ||||
| 2021-01-15 | UAE Warriors 15 | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | no stats | ||||
| 2018-09-21 | TKO 44: Hunter vs. Barriault | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | no stats | ||||
| 2017-09-08 | TKO 40: Denouement | LSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · R2 | no stats | ||||
| 2017-06-16 | TKO 39: Ultimatum | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | no stats | ||||
| 2017-01-13 | TKO 37: Rivals | LSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · R2 | no stats | ||||
| 2016-11-04 | TKO 36: Resurrection | WKO/TKO · R2 | no stats | ||||
| 2016-08-18 | Wreck MMA Pro Series | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | no stats | ||||
| 2016-05-21 | Quebec Mixed Martial Arts League 5 | WSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · R2 | no stats | ||||
Cuamba: full history · 12 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | vs Bernardo SopajUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa | LSubmission · R2 | 29/80 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | vs ChangHo LeeUFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 23/32 | 15 | 2/4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-04-26 | vs Roberto RomeroUFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates | WKO/TKO · R2 | 33/64 | 35 | 1/4 | 1 | 0 |
| 2024-06-16 | vs Lucas AlmeidaUFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 59/116 | 70 | 2/5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs Bolaji OkiUFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer | LDecision - Split · R3 | 33/94 | 60 | 1/6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-02-02 | Tuff-N-Uff 135 | WKO/TKO · R2 | no stats | ||||
| 2023-08-30 | Dana White's Contender Series: Season 7, Week 4 | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 43/126 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-12-03 | iKON FC 6: iKON Fighting Championship | WKO/TKO · R2 | no stats | ||||
| 2022-07-15 | Freedom Fight Night 2 | WKO/TKO · R2 | no stats | ||||
| 2022-03-19 | Gamebred Fighting Championship: Freedom Fight Night | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | no stats | ||||
| 2021-10-02 | Combate Global: Morales vs. Sweeney | LSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · R1 | no stats | ||||
| 2021-08-14 | Cage Fury Fighting Championships 99 | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | no stats | ||||
Line shop (closing prices)Each US sportsbook's moneyline and rounds line; bold = the best price on that side.
| Book | Cuamba | Jourdain | Rounds | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | +145 Hard Rock | −148 DraftKings | 2.5 | −132 | +114 |
| BetMGM | +125 | −150 | — | — | — |
| DraftKings | +124 | −148 | 2.5 | −145 | +114 |
| FanDuel | +140 | −166 | 2.5 | −132 | +108 |
| Hard Rock | +145 | −180 | 1.5 | −275 | +200 |
| Caesars | +135 | −160 | — | — | — |
Line movementEach fighter's no-vig win chance from the median book, every hour since lines opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Fighter numbers are from tracked fights. Prices are the best at US sportsbooks and win chances take the margin out: the books' view, not a forecast. Descriptive data. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.