Boser vs Diniz
Tanner Boser beat Jhonata Diniz by KO/TKO in round 3 at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott on Oct 17, 2026.
Rounds 2.5 · over +115 · under −130
5 US books
How it endsThe books' no-vig prices for every way the fight can end. The books price the round and the method separately (never a method inside a given round). Each number is the median chance across books with their margin removed; the price beside it is the best at a US sportsbook. The chance it is still going after a round is read off the round prices.Market
The books gave Diniz 66% to win; it went the distance 38% of the time, and the likeliest single ending was Diniz in round 1 (21.2%).
Outlined: the likeliest single ending. Still going: the chance it has not ended by the end of that round. Rounds line, no vig: over 2.5 rounds 46%. Tap a cell for its price.
How their last fights endedEach fighter's tracked fights before this one, oldest to newest.History
5-5 in the last 10. 4 of 5 wins inside the distance; 2 of 5 losses were finishes.
- LKO/TKO · R2vs Gokhan SaricamApr 2026
- WKO/TKO · R3UAE Warriors 60Jun 2025
- WDecisionUFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. FontAug 2023
- LKO/TKO · R1vs Ion CutelabaApr 2023
- LDecisionUFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. SongSep 2022
8-2 in the last 10. 6 of 8 wins inside the distance; 2 of 2 losses were finishes.
- LKO/TKO · R2vs Mario PintoOct 2025
- WDecisionvs Alvin HinesJun 2025
- LKO/TKO · R2vs Marcin TyburaNov 2024
- WDecisionUFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2Aug 2024
- WKO/TKO · R2vs Austen LaneApr 2024
Fight statsEach fighter's own numbers from this bout. A longer bar is a bigger number; volt marks the higher one.History
The strike and takedown numbers for this bout have not been stored yet; they usually arrive within a day of the result.
Rates against the divisionEach fighter's striking and grappling rates from his box-scored fights; the tick on each bar is the division average and a full bar is the division's top 5%. Hover a row for what it measures. A rate with no box scores behind it reads no data, never a zero.History
- 4.6Strikes landed / min3.94.6Strikes landed / min3.9
- 3.5Strikes absorbed / minlower is better3.93.5Strikes absorbed / minlower is better3.9
- 52%Striking accuracy56%52%Striking accuracy56%
- 54%Striking defense57%54%Striking defense57%
- 0.29Knockdowns / 15 min0.670.29Knockdowns / 15 min0.67
- 0.2Takedowns / 15 min0.30.2Takedowns / 15 min0.3
- 0%Takedown accuracyno data0%Takedown accuracyno data
- 73%Takedown defense71%73%Takedown defense71%
- 0.1Sub. attempts / 15 min0.10.1Sub. attempts / 15 min0.1
- 0.15Ground advances / 15 min0.050.15Ground advances / 15 min0.05
Tick: Heavyweight average (69 fighters with 3+ tracked fights). Bars start at zero; a full bar is the division's top 5%. The better number of each row is bold.
Strike targets and paceStrike targets are the share of significant strikes to the head, body and legs. Pace is how long his tracked fights lasted and how often he finished early inside the first round.History
Tanner Boser
Form: 2-3 in his last 5 · on L1. Since his last fight: 6 mo.
- Lvs Gokhan SaricamApr 18, 2026KO/TKO · R2 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malottsig. str. 60/97 · abs. 57 · TD 0/1 · KD 0 · sub 0
- WUAE Warriors 60Jun 13, 2025TKO (Retirement) · R3no stats
- WUFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. FontAug 6, 2023Decision - Unanimous · R3sig. str. 120/215 · abs. 68 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Lvs Ion CutelabaApr 16, 2023KO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allensig. str. 5/16 · abs. 30 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- LUFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. SongSep 17, 2022Decision - Split · R3sig. str. 62/115 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
Jhonata Diniz
Form: 3-2 in his last 5 · on L1. Since his last fight: 12 mo.
- Lvs Mario PintoOct 11, 2025KO/TKO · R2 · UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrotsig. str. 1/5 · abs. 29 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Wvs Alvin HinesJun 28, 2025Decision - Unanimous · R3 · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirasig. str. 112/182 · abs. 82 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Lvs Marcin TyburaNov 17, 2024TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R2 · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocicsig. str. 15/29 · abs. 35 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- WUFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2Aug 10, 2024Decision - Unanimous · R3sig. str. 59/103 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Wvs Austen LaneApr 27, 2024KO/TKO · R2 · UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perezsig. str. 20/33 · abs. 17 · TD 0 · KD 1 · sub 0
Boser: full history · 11 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | vs Gokhan SaricamUFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott | LKO/TKO · R2 | 60/97 | 57 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | UAE Warriors 60 | WTKO (Retirement) · R3 | no stats | ||||
| 2023-08-06 | UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 120/215 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-04-16 | vs Ion CutelabaUFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen | LKO/TKO · R1 | 5/16 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-09-17 | UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song | LDecision - Split · R3 | 62/115 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-06-26 | UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov | WKO/TKO · R2 | 33/72 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2021-06-05 | UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai | LDecision - Split · R3 | 45/105 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-11-08 | UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 68/119 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-07-25 | UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till | WKO/TKO · R2 | 43/60 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-06-27 | UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker | WKO/TKO · R1 | 15/22 | — | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2019-12-21 | vs Ciryl GaneUFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 32/104 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Diniz: full history · 11 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | vs Mario PintoUFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot | LKO/TKO · R2 | 1/5 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-06-28 | vs Alvin HinesUFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 112/182 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs Marcin TyburaUFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic | LTKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R2 | 15/29 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-08-10 | UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 59/103 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-04-27 | vs Austen LaneUFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez | WKO/TKO · R2 | 20/33 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2023-09-13 | Dana White's Contender Series: Season 7, Week 6 | WKO/TKO · R1 | 25/59 | — | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2023-03-19 | Imortal FC 12: Rock N' Fight | WTKO - Retirement · R1 | no stats | ||||
| 2023-01-28 | Spartacus MMA: Spartacus Fight Event 27 | WKO/TKO · R1 | no stats | ||||
| 2022-11-20 | Imortal FC 11: Rock N' Fight | WKO/TKO · R1 | no stats | ||||
| 2022-09-10 | Metanoia Fight Combat: MFC Premium | WKO/TKO · R1 | no stats | ||||
| 2022-05-21 | Spartacus MMA: Spartacus Fight Event 5 | WKO/TKO · R1 | no stats | ||||
Line shop (closing prices)Each US sportsbook's moneyline and rounds line; bold = the best price on that side.
| Book | Diniz | Boser | Rounds | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | −205 Caesars | +185 DraftKings | 2.5 | +115 | −130 |
| BetMGM | −220 | +180 | — | — | — |
| DraftKings | −225 | +185 | 2.5 | +100 | −130 |
| FanDuel | −220 | +184 | 2.5 | +108 | −130 |
| Hard Rock | −225 | +180 | 2.5 | +115 | −150 |
| Caesars | −205 | +170 | 2.5 | +115 | −145 |
Line movementEach fighter's no-vig win chance from the median book, every hour since lines opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Fighter numbers are from tracked fights. Prices are the best at US sportsbooks and win chances take the margin out: the books' view, not a forecast. Descriptive data. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.