Jhonata Diniz vs Tanner Boser

The model's pick →5:00 PM ET· scheduled

Premium

The model's read on Jhonata Diniz vs Tanner Boser

The numbers above are the market's. Premium adds the model's call on this game.

✓Who the model picks, and how sure it is
✓Spread and total leans against the market
✓The matchups behind the call, in plain English

Unlock the pick Preview the page →

Premium

Tale of the tapeHeavyweight

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 3 rounds · prelims1

Tanner Boser

“The Bulldozer”

22-11-1 (12 KO · 2 SUB · 8 DEC)

knockout power

Jhonata Diniz

9-2 (7 KO · 0 SUB · 2 DEC)

precise striker

BoserTapeDiniz

22-11-1Record9-2

35Age35

6'2"Height6'4"

75.5"Reach79.5"

OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

CANCountryBRA

Win method %

KO 55% · SUB 9% · DEC 36%

KO 78% · SUB 0% · DEC 22%

Output & grappling

per-fight rates over last 11 tracked bouts

BoserStatDiniz

4.6

Sig. str / min

3.9

52%

Strike acc.

56%

3.5

Absorbed / min

3.9

+1.0

Damage margin

+0.0

54%

Strike defense

57%

0.29

Knockdowns /15

0.67

0.2

Takedowns /15

0.3

TD accuracy

—

73%

TD defense

71%

0.2

Ground adv. /15

0.0

0.1

Sub att. /15

0.1

Boser — pace & finishing

Avg fight length 10.6 min over 11 tracked

Round-1 finish wins 1 · finish wins 4

Went the distance 45% of tracked fights

Diniz — pace & finishing

Avg fight length 6.6 min over 11 tracked

Round-1 finish wins 6 · finish wins 7

Went the distance 18% of tracked fights

Boser — strike targetshead 51% · body 18% · leg 31%

Diniz — strike targetshead 75% · body 6% · leg 19%

Stylistic read

▸Chin check: Boser finishes 55% of wins by KO while Diniz has been stopped in 100% of losses.
▸Diniz holds a 4" reach advantage.

Tanner Boser — last fights

L2026-04-18vs Gokhan Saricam · KO/TKO · R2

W2025-06-13TKO (Retirement) · R3

W2023-08-06Decision - Unanimous · R3

L2023-04-16vs Ion Cutelaba · KO/TKO · R1

L2022-09-17Decision - Split · R3

Jhonata Diniz — last fights

L2025-10-11vs Mario Pinto · KO/TKO · R2

W2025-06-28vs Alvin Hines · Decision - Unanimous · R3

L2024-11-17vs Marcin Tybura · TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R2

W2024-08-10Decision - Unanimous · R3

W2024-04-27vs Austen Lane · KO/TKO · R2

Line shop

Fight odds refresh hourly on fight days — none yet for this bout.