Aces vs Valkyries Prediction — WNBA, Oct 4, 2026

Model pick: Aces (50%), locked Oct 4; Valkyries won 71–60 (graded a miss).

Las Vegas Aces

Golden State Valkyries

60–71

Final

Win probability

LV 50%

50% GS

Golden State Valkyries won, 71–60. The pick was Las Vegas Aces at 50% — incorrect.

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Margin the probability implies

LV by 0.1

LV win probability

50%

Right at this confidence

5 of 8

Too early to read: 8 graded at 50–60%

Winner picks only. Where books price a game, the win probability follows the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model works →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.