Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Sean King vs Jessie Rosas

2:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Sean Kingby DEC56% to win · closed -190
Result: Sean King by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Jessie Rosas
27% +276
Sean King
73% -276
How it ends
Rosas by KO/TKO
7.0%
fair +1332
Rosas by SUB
9.2%
fair +982
Rosas by DEC
10.4%
fair +863
King by KO/TKO
34.7%
fair +188
King by SUB
16.4%
fair +510
King by DEC
22.3%
fair +348

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R136.3%fair +175
Ends in R220.0%fair +400
Ends in R311.0%fair +810
Goes distance32.7%fair +206
How this fight plays out

The model makes King a clear 73% favorite. Striking volume is near even (4.2 vs 4.5 per minute), so the fight likely turns on damage rather than output. King is most dangerous early — 3 of 7 tracked wins ended in the first round. King's most likely path is by KO/TKO (35%), and the fight goes the distance 33% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.