Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Reginaldo Junior vs Isaac Moreno

7:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Isaac Morenoby DEC52% to win · closed -120
Result: Isaac Moreno by DEC in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Isaac Moreno
52% -107
Reginaldo Junior
48% +107
How it ends
Moreno by KO/TKO
15.8%
fair +531
Moreno by SUB
3.3%
fair +2957
Moreno by DEC
32.6%
fair +206
Junior by KO/TKO
21.9%
fair +356
Junior by SUB
11.1%
fair +801
Junior by DEC
15.2%
fair +556

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R128.1%fair +255
Ends in R215.5%fair +546
Ends in R38.5%fair +1075
Goes distance47.9%fair +109
How this fight plays out

The model makes Moreno a narrow 52% favorite. Junior is most dangerous early — 5 of 10 tracked wins ended in the first round. Moreno's most likely path is on the scorecards (33%), and the fight goes the distance 48% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.