Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Martin Kozák vs Christian Echols

7:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Martin Kozákby KO/TKO72% to win · closed -590
Result: Martin Kozák by KO/TKO in Round 2 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Christian Echols
32% +209
Martin Kozák
68% -209
How it ends
Echols by KO/TKO
11.7%
fair +754
Echols by SUB
14.3%
fair +598
Echols by DEC
6.3%
fair +1487
Kozák by KO/TKO
51.3%
fair -105
Kozák by SUB
9.6%
fair +941
Kozák by DEC
6.8%
fair +1378

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R146.9%fair +113
Ends in R225.8%fair +287
Ends in R314.2%fair +604
Goes distance13.1%fair +665
How this fight plays out

The model makes Kozák a solid 68% favorite. Kozák is most dangerous early — 3 of 7 tracked wins ended in the first round. Kozák's most likely path is by KO/TKO (51%), and the fight goes the distance 13% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.