Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Dooho Choi vs Patricio Pitbull

9:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Dooho Choiby KO/TKO74% to win · closed -248
Result: Patricio Pitbull by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model missed ✗
Probetrics fight model
Patricio Pitbull
35% +190
Dooho Choi
65% -190
How it ends
Pitbull by KO/TKO
27.0%
fair +270
Pitbull by SUB
0.6%
fair +15830
Pitbull by DEC
6.9%
fair +1353
Choi by KO/TKO
44.3%
fair +126
Choi by SUB
2.9%
fair +3302
Choi by DEC
18.2%
fair +450

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R140.5%fair +147
Ends in R222.3%fair +349
Ends in R312.2%fair +717
Goes distance25.1%fair +299
How this fight plays out

The model makes Choi a solid 65% favorite. On the feet, Choi sets the tempo — 4.9 significant strikes a minute to 3.5 — so Pitbull needs moments, not volume. Choi is most dangerous early — 3 of 7 tracked wins ended in the first round. Choi's most likely path is by KO/TKO (44%), and the fight goes the distance 25% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.