Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Joanderson Brito vs Giga Chikadze

5:30 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Joanderson Britoby DEC71% to win · closed -410
Result: Joanderson Brito by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Giga Chikadze
28% +255
Joanderson Brito
72% -255
How it ends
Chikadze by KO/TKO
2.6%
fair +3795
Chikadze by SUB
1.7%
fair +5698
Chikadze by DEC
23.9%
fair +318
Brito by KO/TKO
20.6%
fair +385
Brito by SUB
22.3%
fair +348
Brito by DEC
28.9%
fair +246

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R125.5%fair +292
Ends in R214.0%fair +613
Ends in R37.7%fair +1197
Goes distance52.8%fair -112
How this fight plays out

The model makes Brito a clear 72% favorite. Expect Brito to chase the takedown (3.0/15 min at 68%) while Chikadze tries to keep it standing behind 67% takedown defense. Brito is most dangerous early — 6 of 10 tracked wins ended in the first round. Brito's most likely path is on the scorecards (29%), and the fight goes the distance 53% of the time.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.