Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Jose Miguel Delgado vs Jean Silva

5:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Jose Miguel Delgadoby KO/TKO56% to win
Result: Jean Silva by SUB in Round 3 — model missed ✗
Probetrics fight model
Jean Silva
48% +109
Jose Miguel Delgado
52% -109
How it ends
Silva by KO/TKO
10.6%
fair +845
Silva by SUB
12.5%
fair +700
Silva by DEC
24.7%
fair +305
Delgado by KO/TKO
20.4%
fair +389
Delgado by SUB
2.5%
fair +3883
Delgado by DEC
29.3%
fair +241

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R121.2%fair +373
Ends in R211.6%fair +759
Ends in R36.4%fair +1462
Ends in R44.4%fair +2172
Ends in R52.4%fair +4031
Goes distance54.0%fair -117
How this fight plays out

The model makes Delgado a narrow 52% favorite. Striking volume is near even (4.7 vs 5.7 per minute), so the fight likely turns on damage rather than output. Delgado is most dangerous early — 5 of 10 tracked wins ended in the first round. Delgado's most likely path is on the scorecards (29%), and the fight goes the distance 54% of the time.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.