Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Fabia Sintes vs Michael Aljarouj

12:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Fabia Sintesby DEC61% to win · closed +120
Result: Fabia Sintes by DEC in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Michael Aljarouj
31% +223
Fabia Sintes
69% -223
How it ends
Aljarouj by KO/TKO
9.6%
fair +942
Aljarouj by SUB
2.5%
fair +3969
Aljarouj by DEC
18.9%
fair +428
Sintes by KO/TKO
11.4%
fair +773
Sintes by SUB
17.2%
fair +483
Sintes by DEC
40.4%
fair +148

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R122.0%fair +356
Ends in R212.1%fair +728
Ends in R36.6%fair +1406
Goes distance59.3%fair -146
How this fight plays out

The model makes Sintes a solid 69% favorite. Expect Sintes to chase the takedown (2.2/15 min at 38%) while Aljarouj tries to keep it standing behind 63% takedown defense. Sintes's most likely path is on the scorecards (40%), and the fight goes the distance 59% of the time.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.