Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Arlind Berisha vs Quentin Pasley

7:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Quentin Pasleyby KO/TKO55% to win · closed +130
Result: Quentin Pasley by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Quentin Pasley
55% -121
Arlind Berisha
45% +121
How it ends
Pasley by KO/TKO
43.7%
fair +129
Pasley by SUB
5.5%
fair +1711
Pasley by DEC
5.5%
fair +1730
Berisha by KO/TKO
24.6%
fair +306
Berisha by SUB
9.8%
fair +919
Berisha by DEC
10.9%
fair +819

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R145.2%fair +121
Ends in R224.8%fair +303
Ends in R313.7%fair +632
Goes distance16.3%fair +512
How this fight plays out

The model makes Pasley a narrow 55% favorite. Pasley is most dangerous early — 4 of 4 tracked wins ended in the first round. Pasley's most likely path is by KO/TKO (44%), and the fight goes the distance 16% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.