Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Ignacio Bahamondes vs Muslim Salikhov

2:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Ignacio Bahamondesby KO/TKO71% to win · closed -525
Result: Ignacio Bahamondes by DEC in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Muslim Salikhov
30% +231
Ignacio Bahamondes
70% -231
How it ends
Salikhov by KO/TKO
10.2%
fair +883
Salikhov by SUB
1.8%
fair +5458
Salikhov by DEC
18.2%
fair +448
Bahamondes by KO/TKO
35.2%
fair +184
Bahamondes by SUB
18.8%
fair +432
Bahamondes by DEC
15.8%
fair +532

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R135.6%fair +181
Ends in R219.6%fair +411
Ends in R310.8%fair +829
Goes distance34.1%fair +194
How this fight plays out

The model makes Bahamondes a solid 70% favorite. On the feet, Bahamondes sets the tempo — 5.8 significant strikes a minute to 3.7 — so Salikhov needs moments, not volume. Bahamondes's most likely path is by KO/TKO (35%), and the fight goes the distance 34% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.