Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Regina Tarin vs JJ Aldrich

2:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Regina Tarinby DEC64% to win · closed -270
Result: Regina Tarin by DEC in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
JJ Aldrich
34% +192
Regina Tarin
66% -192
How it ends
Aldrich by KO/TKO
6.7%
fair +1384
Aldrich by SUB
2.3%
fair +4324
Aldrich by DEC
25.2%
fair +297
Tarin by KO/TKO
19.3%
fair +419
Tarin by SUB
6.6%
fair +1418
Tarin by DEC
39.9%
fair +150

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R118.8%fair +431
Ends in R210.4%fair +866
Ends in R35.7%fair +1657
Goes distance65.1%fair -187
How this fight plays out

The model makes Tarin a solid 66% favorite. On the feet, Tarin sets the tempo — 5.9 significant strikes a minute to 4.0 — so Aldrich needs moments, not volume. Aldrich tends to settle in for the long haul — 11 of 13 tracked fights reached the judges. Tarin's most likely path is on the scorecards (40%), and the fight goes the distance 65% of the time.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.