Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Delphine Benouaich vs Sofia Montenegro

12:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Delphine Benouaichby DEC63% to win · closed -132
Result: Delphine Benouaich by SUB in Round 2 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Sofia Montenegro
37% +172
Delphine Benouaich
63% -172
How it ends
Montenegro by KO/TKO
2.8%
fair +3444
Montenegro by SUB
6.0%
fair +1558
Montenegro by DEC
27.9%
fair +258
Benouaich by KO/TKO
15.4%
fair +551
Benouaich by SUB
17.0%
fair +489
Benouaich by DEC
30.9%
fair +223

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R122.2%fair +350
Ends in R212.2%fair +718
Ends in R36.7%fair +1387
Goes distance58.8%fair -143
How this fight plays out

The model makes Benouaich a solid 63% favorite. On the feet, Benouaich sets the tempo — 8.6 significant strikes a minute to 4.2 — so Montenegro needs moments, not volume. Benouaich's most likely path is on the scorecards (31%), and the fight goes the distance 59% of the time.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.