Stan Dorsainvil vs Gauge Young
5:00 PM ET· finalModel pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Stan Dorsainvilby DEC58% to win
Result: Stan Dorsainvil by DEC in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Gauge Young
41% +142
Stan Dorsainvil
59% -142
How it ends
Young by KO/TKO
15.5%
fair +545
Young by SUB
3.3%
fair +2929
Young by DEC
22.5%
fair +345
Dorsainvil by KO/TKO
9.5%
fair +948
Dorsainvil by SUB
18.6%
fair +439
Dorsainvil by DEC
30.6%
fair +227
“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.
When it ends
Ends in R125.3%fair +295
Ends in R213.9%fair +618
Ends in R37.7%fair +1205
Goes distance53.1%fair -113
How this fight plays out
The model makes Dorsainvil a solid 59% favorite. Dorsainvil is most dangerous early — 3 of 6 tracked wins ended in the first round. Dorsainvil's most likely path is on the scorecards (31%), and the fight goes the distance 53% of the time.
Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.
Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.