Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Anthony Wint vs Terrance Chatman

8:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Anthony Wintby KO/TKO77% to win · closed -800
Result: Anthony Wint by SUB in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Terrance Chatman
24% +323
Anthony Wint
76% -323
How it ends
Chatman by KO/TKO
14.3%
fair +601
Chatman by SUB
2.8%
fair +3518
Chatman by DEC
6.6%
fair +1414
Wint by KO/TKO
31.2%
fair +220
Wint by SUB
19.6%
fair +410
Wint by DEC
25.5%
fair +291

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R136.6%fair +173
Ends in R220.1%fair +396
Ends in R311.1%fair +803
Goes distance32.1%fair +211
How this fight plays out

The model makes Wint a clear 76% favorite. Expect Wint to chase the takedown (1.8/15 min at 33%) while Chatman tries to keep it standing. Wint is most dangerous early — 5 of 8 tracked wins ended in the first round. Wint's most likely path is by KO/TKO (31%), and the fight goes the distance 32% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.